Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.

The Chicago Cubs versus the St. Louis Cardinals is on the MLB schedule for Saturday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Cubs vs Cardinals Game Info

• Chicago Cubs (49-39) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (46-39)
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Wrigley Field -- Chicago, Illinois
• Coverage: FOX

Cubs vs Cardinals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: CHC: (-158) | STL: (+134)
• Spread: CHC: -1.5 (+130) | STL: +1.5 (-156)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Cubs vs Cardinals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Shota Imanaga (Cubs) - 5-6, 4.30 ERA vs Kyle Leahy (Cardinals) - 6-4, 4.09 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Cubs will send Shota Imanaga (5-6) to the mound, while Kyle Leahy (6-4) will answer the bell for the Cardinals. Imanaga's team is 5-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Imanaga starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-8. The Cardinals are 8-7-0 ATS in Leahy's 15 starts that had a set spread. The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Leahy's starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cubs win (61.4%)

Cubs vs Cardinals Moneyline

• St. Louis is a +134 underdog on the moneyline, while Chicago is a -158 favorite at home.

Cubs vs Cardinals Spread

• The Cubs are hosting the Cardinals and are favored by 1.5 runs (+130 to cover) on the runline. St. Louis is -156 to cover.

Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under

• An over/under of 8 has been set for Cubs-Cardinals on July 4, with the over being -105 and the under -115.

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Cubs vs Cardinals Betting Trends

• The Cubs have come away with 33 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Chicago has come away with a win 12 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -158 on the moneyline.
• The Cubs and their opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cubs are 36-50-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Cardinals are 30-28 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 51.7% of those games).
• St. Louis is 5-5 (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer.
• The Cardinals have played in 84 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-43-5).
• The Cardinals have put together a 49-35-0 record ATS this season (covering 58.3% of the time).

Cubs Player Leaders

• Pete Crow-Armstrong leads Chicago with 95 hits and an OBP of .374, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .526. He's batting .287.
• Among qualified hitters, he is 23rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 20th, and he is 14th in slugging.
• Crow-Armstrong has recorded a base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with a double, two home runs, six walks and four RBIs.
• Nico Hoerner has 22 doubles, four home runs and 35 walks. He's batting .241 and slugging .339 with an on-base percentage of .316.
• His batting average ranks 106th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 107th, and his slugging percentage 142nd.
• Dansby Swanson has collected 59 base hits, an OBP of .298 and a slugging percentage of .428 this season.
• Michael Busch has been key for Chicago with 75 hits, an OBP of .367 plus a slugging percentage of .395.
• Busch has safely hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .182 with two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.

Cardinals Player Leaders

• Alec Burleson has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 30 walks while batting .276. He's slugging .472 with an on-base percentage of .342.
• Including all the qualifying players in the big leagues, his batting average is 38th, his on-base percentage ranks 58th, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Jordan Walker's 94 hits and .519 slugging percentage both lead his team. He has a batting average of .290 with an on-base percentage of .348.
• He is currently 18th in batting average, 50th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
• Ivan Herrera a has .396 on-base percentage to lead the Cardinals.
• JJ Wetherholt has eight doubles, 12 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .260.

Cubs vs Cardinals Head to Head

• 7/3/2026: 17-1 STL (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/31/2026: 5-1 STL (Favorite: Cardinals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/30/2026: 6-1 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/29/2026: 6-5 STL (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 9/28/2025: 2-0 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 9/27/2025: 7-3 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 9/26/2025: 12-1 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 8/9/2025: 9-1 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 8/8/2025: 5-0 STL (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 7/5/2025: 8-6 STL (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 11, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)

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