Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.
In MLB action on Saturday, the Atlanta Braves play the New York Mets.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves vs Mets Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (51-35) vs. New York Mets (36-52)
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
- Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
- Coverage: FOX
Braves vs Mets Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-184) | NYM: (+154)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+114) | NYM: +1.5 (-137)
- Total: 8 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Braves vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 8-6, 2.10 ERA vs Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-3, 4.71 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Chris Sale (8-6) to the mound, while Sean Manaea (1-3) will take the ball for the Mets. Sale and his team have a record of 8-7-0 against the spread when he starts. When Sale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-5. The Mets have a 2-2-0 ATS record in Manaea's four starts with a set spread. The Mets have a 1-2 record in Manaea's three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Braves vs Mets Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (58.9%)
Braves vs Mets Moneyline
- New York is a +154 underdog on the moneyline, while Atlanta is a -184 favorite at home.
Braves vs Mets Spread
- The Braves are hosting the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Braves are +114 to cover the runline, with the Mets being -137.
Braves vs Mets Over/Under
- The Braves-Mets contest on July 4 has been given an over/under of 8 runs. The over is set at -110 and the under at -110.
Bet on Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!
Braves vs Mets Betting Trends
- The Braves have been victorious in 41, or 64.1%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This season Atlanta has been victorious seven times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -184 on the moneyline.
- The Braves and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 84 opportunities.
- In 84 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 45-39-0 against the spread.
- The Mets have gone 6-23 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20.7% of those games).
- New York has played in four games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer without claiming a victory.
- The Mets have played in 87 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-42-6).
- The Mets have put together a 37-50-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42.5% of the time).
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 91 hits and an OBP of .345, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .538. He's batting .273.
- Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 41st, his on-base percentage ranks 54th, and he is ninth in slugging.
- Ozzie Albies is hitting .273 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks, while slugging .445 with an on-base percentage of .322.
- Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 41st in batting average, 95th in on-base percentage and 64th in slugging percentage.
- Mauricio Dubon has collected 81 base hits, an OBP of .325 and a slugging percentage of .416 this season.
- Michael Harris II has 15 home runs, 46 RBI and a batting average of .296 this season.
- Harris heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto has an on-base percentage of .406 and has 73 hits, both team-high figures for the Mets. He's batting .297 and slugging .565.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 11th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is fourth and he is fourth in slugging.
- Bo Bichette is slugging .381 to pace his team. He has a batting average of .253 with an on-base percentage of .300.
- He is currently 80th in batting average, 131st in on-base percentage and 117th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
- Carson Benge has 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .259.
- Mark Vientos is batting .209 with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks.
Braves vs Mets Head to Head
- 7/3/2026: 5-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 6/14/2026: 8-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 6/13/2026: 3-1 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
- 8/24/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 8/23/2025: 9-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 8/22/2025: 12-7 NYM (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 8/14/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
- 8/12/2025: 13-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/26/2025: 4-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 6/25/2025: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
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