Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The Saturday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets.

All the info you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Braves vs Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves (51-35) vs. New York Mets (36-52)
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: FOX

Braves vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-162) | NYM: (+136)
• Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+136) | NYM: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)

Braves vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 8-6, 2.10 ERA vs Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-3, 4.71 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Chris Sale (8-6) to the mound, while Sean Manaea (1-3) will answer the bell for the Mets. Sale and his team have a record of 8-7-0 against the spread when he starts. When Sale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-5. The Mets have a 2-2-0 record against the spread in Manaea's starts. The Mets are 1-2 in Manaea's three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Braves vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (59.6%)

Braves vs Mets Moneyline

• Atlanta is the favorite, -162 on the moneyline, while New York is a +136 underdog on the road.

Braves vs Mets Spread

• The Braves are hosting the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs (+136 to cover) on the runline. New York is -164 to cover.

Braves vs Mets Over/Under

• Braves versus Mets on July 4 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over +100 and the under set at -122.

Bet on Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Braves vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Braves have been victorious in 41, or 64.1%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 9-5 when favored by -162 or more this year.
• The Braves and their opponents have gone over in 38 of their 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Braves are 45-39-0 against the spread in their 84 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Mets are 6-23 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20.7% of those games).
• New York has played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, and lost each game.
• The Mets have combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times this season for a 39-42-6 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have put together a 37-50-0 record ATS this season.

Braves Player Leaders

• Matt Olson has 91 hits and an OBP of .345 to go with a slugging percentage of .538. All three of those stats lead Atlanta hitters this season. He has a .273 batting average, as well.
• He is 41st in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging among all qualified hitters in baseball.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .273 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks, while slugging .445 with an on-base percentage of .322.
• Among qualifying batters, he ranks 41st in batting average, 94th in on-base percentage and 64th in slugging percentage.
• Mauricio Dubon is batting .267 with a .416 slugging percentage and 45 RBI this year.
• Michael Harris II has been key for Atlanta with 86 hits, an OBP of .330 plus a slugging percentage of .495.
• Harris heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a home run, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has racked up a team-high OBP (.406), while leading the Mets in hits (73). He's batting .297 and slugging.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, he ranks 11th in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
• Bo Bichette is slugging .381 to pace his team. He has a batting average of .253 with an on-base percentage of .300.
• Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 80th, his on-base percentage is 130th, and he is 118th in slugging.
• Carson Benge has 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .259.
• Mark Vientos has nine doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks while hitting .209.

Braves vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/3/2026: 5-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/14/2026: 8-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 6/13/2026: 3-1 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 8/24/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/23/2025: 9-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 8/22/2025: 12-7 NYM (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 8/14/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
• 8/12/2025: 13-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 6/26/2025: 4-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/25/2025: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)

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