Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.
MLB action on Saturday includes the Houston Astros taking on the Tampa Bay Rays.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup.
Astros vs Rays Game Info
- Houston Astros (43-47) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (52-33)
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Daikin Park -- Houston, Texas
- Coverage: SCHN and Rays.TV
Astros vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: HOU: (-108) | TB: (-108)
- Spread: HOU: +1.5 (-178) | TB: -1.5 (+146)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)
Astros vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Hunter Brown (Astros) - 1-0, 1.78 ERA vs Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 7-4, 2.45 ERA
The Astros will give the nod to Hunter Brown (1-0) against the Rays and Drew Rasmussen (7-4). Brown's team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Brown's team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1). When Rasmussen starts, the Rays have gone 9-6-0 against the spread. The Rays are 3-3 in Rasmussen's six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Astros vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (56.4%)
Astros vs Rays Moneyline
- Houston is the favorite, -108 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a -108 underdog on the road.
Astros vs Rays Spread
Astros vs Rays Over/Under
- The Astros-Rays contest on July 4 has been given an over/under of 9 runs. The over is set at -106 and the under at -114.
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Astros vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Astros have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This season Houston has come away with a win 15 times in 35 chances when named as a favorite of at least -108 on the moneyline.
- The Astros' games have gone over the total in 48 of their 90 opportunities.
- In 90 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 41-49-0 against the spread.
- The Rays have won 15 of the 27 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (55.6%).
- Tampa Bay has a 15-12 record (winning 55.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -108 or longer.
- The Rays have played in 84 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-44-1).
- The Rays have collected a 52-32-0 record against the spread this season.
Astros Player Leaders
- Yordan Alvarez leads Houston in OBP (.431), slugging percentage (.625) and total hits (101) this season. He has a .319 batting average.
- Among qualified hitters, he is fourth in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
- Alvarez will look for his fourth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
- Christian Walker has 16 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks. He's batting .237 and slugging .465 with an on-base percentage of .310.
- Among all qualified, he ranks 114th in batting average, 116th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging percentage.
- Isaac Paredes has 75 hits this season and has a slash line of .251/.348/.415.
- Paredes enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
- Cam Smith is batting .223 with a .296 OBP and 32 RBI for Houston this season.
- Smith brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, two home runs and two RBIs.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero has racked up 93 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .288 and slugging .557 with an on-base percentage of .376.
- Including all qualified players in the big leagues, his batting average puts him 21st, his on-base percentage is 19th, and he is sixth in slugging.
- Yandy Diaz leads his team with a .408 OBP, and has a club-best .495 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .325.
- He is currently third in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 25th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters.
- Jonathan Aranda is hitting .289 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 walks.
- Chandler Simpson is batting .278 with eight doubles, four triples and 18 walks.
Astros vs Rays Head to Head
- 7/3/2026: 3-1 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 6/1/2025: 1-0 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 5/31/2025: 16-3 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
- 5/30/2025: 2-1 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 5/29/2025: 13-3 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/21/2025: 8-4 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 5/20/2025: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 5/19/2025: 4-3 HOU (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/14/2024: 2-1 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 8/13/2024: 3-2 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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