Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The MLB schedule on Saturday includes the Houston Astros facing the Tampa Bay Rays.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Astros vs Rays Game Info

• Houston Astros (43-47) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (52-33)
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Daikin Park -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: SCHN and Rays.TV

Astros vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: HOU: (-108) | TB: (-108)
• Spread: HOU: +1.5 (-178) | TB: -1.5 (+146)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Astros vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Hunter Brown (Astros) - 1-0, 1.78 ERA vs Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 7-4, 2.45 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Astros will send Hunter Brown (1-0) to the mound, while Drew Rasmussen (7-4) will answer the bell for the Rays. When Brown starts, his team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season. Brown's team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Rays have gone 9-6-0 against the spread when Rasmussen starts. The Rays have a 3-3 record in Rasmussen's six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.

Astros vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (55.4%)

Astros vs Rays Moneyline

• Tampa Bay is a -108 underdog on the moneyline, while Houston is a -108 favorite at home.

Astros vs Rays Spread

Astros vs Rays Over/Under

• A total of 9 runs has been set for the Astros-Rays contest on July 4, with the over available at -106 and the under at -114.

Bet on Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays on FanDuel today!

Astros vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Astros have been chosen as favorites in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those games.
• Houston has a record of 15-20 when favored by -108 or more this year.
• The Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 90 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Astros have posted a record of 41-49-0 against the spread this season.
• The Rays have won 55.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (15-12).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, Tampa Bay has a record of 15-12 (55.6%).
• In the 84 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-44-1).
• The Rays have a 52-32-0 record ATS this season (covering 61.9% of the time).

Astros Player Leaders

• Yordan Alvarez leads Houston with 101 hits and an OBP of .431, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .625. He's batting .319.
• Among qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks fourth, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Alvarez will look for his fourth straight game with a hit in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with two home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
• Christian Walker has 16 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks. He's batting .237 and slugging .465 with an on-base percentage of .310.
• He ranks 115th in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
• Isaac Paredes has 75 hits this season and has a slash line of .251/.348/.415.
• Paredes takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
• Cam Smith is batting .223 with a .296 OBP and 32 RBI for Houston this season.
• Smith has hit safely in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, two home runs and two RBIs.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 93 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .288 and slugging .557 with an on-base percentage of .376.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 21st in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage and seventh in slugging percentage.
• Yandy Diaz paces his team with a .408 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .495 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .325.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks third in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging percentage.
• Jonathan Aranda has 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 walks while hitting .289.
• Chandler Simpson is hitting .278 with eight doubles, four triples and 18 walks.

Astros vs Rays Head to Head

• 7/3/2026: 3-1 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/1/2025: 1-0 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 5/31/2025: 16-3 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/30/2025: 2-1 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 5/29/2025: 13-3 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/21/2025: 8-4 TB (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/20/2025: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/19/2025: 4-3 HOU (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/14/2024: 2-1 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 8/13/2024: 3-2 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)

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