College Basketball Betting Picks for Wednesday 3/13/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
College Basketball Betting Picks for Wednesday 3/13/24

The college basketball season always provides a flurry of twists and turns that few saw coming -- especially when the NCAA Tournament comes around. This can make college basketball one of the most challenging sports to bet on.

Fortunately, we have plenty of tools available that can aid our chances of taking the most favorable college basketball bets. Bart Torvik and KenPom are excellent sources that give insights into team-level efficiency, and Sports Reference provides a wide range of useful team stats, as well.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and select some of the best bets of the day by utilizing the mentioned tools.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Best Bets

Nicholls State Colonels vs. McNeese State Cowboys, 5 p.m. ET

Over 137.5 (-115)

McNeese State is looking to end their season with a bang in the final of the Southland Tournament. Nicholls State comes off a 81-73 win over the two-time defending Southland champions, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi. The Colonels could give the Cowboys a run for their money as they are 8-2 outright and against the spread (ATS) over the last 10 games.

Over the last four contests, McNeese State has won by an average margin of 20.5 points, and they are riding a 10-game winning streak. The Cowboys averaged 81.8 points per game (PPG) over the past four games while shooting 50.0% from the field. Meanwhile, Nicholls State ranks 223rd in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency.

McNeese State ranks in the 95th percentile in both field goal percentage (FG%) and three-point percentage, and the Colonels sit in the bottom 22% in two-point attempts allowed per game. The perimeter defense isn't much better, ranking outside the top 160 in three-point shots allowed per game.

The Cowboys shouldn't have too much trouble when it comes to scoring the basketball, and McNeese State is in the bottom 5% in three-point shots allowed per contest while Nicholls State ranks in the 90th percentile in three-point percentage. The Colonels have also totaled 77.7 PPG over their last three games.

McNeese State may coast to a title as 16.5-point favorites, but the over remains a solid bet with both offenses rolling at the right time.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks, 7 p.m. ET

Arkansas -5.5 (-120)

The SEC Tournament tips off today, beginning with Vanderbilt against Arkansas. Both teams have suddenly turned into reliable picks ATS, with the Commodores going 4-1 ATS over their last five games and the Razorbacks at 6-1 ATS over their past seven.

For Wednesday's SEC collision, I'm backing Arkansas to stay hot. The offense, which averages 77.7 PPG (80th percentile) on the season, has turned it up a notch with 90.8 PPG over their previous five contests. Vanderbilt ranks 192nd in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency (the second-worst mark in the conference).

The Razorbacks have averaged only 17.7 three-point shots per game over the last three games. The unit has focused on attacking the rim, averaging 45.3 points in the paint per game over the past three contests. This goes along with Arkansas' strategy for most of the season as they rank in the 70th percentile of two-point shots and makes per game.

Meanwhile, the Commodores sit in the bottom 17% in opponent FG% and bottom 33% in opponent two-point percentage. Vanderbilt's starting frontcourt of Ven-Allen Lubin (-0.60) and Tasos Kamateros (-0.11) have concerning marks in EvanMiya's Defensive Bayesian Performance Ratings (DBPR).

Thanks to an advantage around the rim, the Razorbacks offense could continue to dominate, leading to a cover.

Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos, 7 p.m. ET

Over 145.5 (-110)

The over has been a big winner for Air Force and New Mexico in recent games. It is 7-3 across the Falcons' past 10 contests and 8-2 in the Lobos' last 10. The teams meet in the first round of the Mountain West Tournament, making the over a sound bet.

We know that New Mexico can score the basketball as they rank 35th in adjusted offensive efficiency and log 82.6 PPG (95th percentile). Air Force has one of the worst defenses in the nation, sitting 323rd in efficiency (worst in the Mountain West).

The Lobos rank in the 99th percentile of two-point attempts and makes per night. The Falcons could be shaking in their boots as they are in the bottom 7% in opponent two-point percentage.

However, Air Force has some scoring advantages, as well. They rank among the 86th percentile in three-point percentage and three-point makes per game. New Mexico ranks outside the top 100 in three-point shots allowed per game and is in the bottom 44% in two-point attempted allowed each contest. The Falcons also sit in the 78th percentile of two-point percentage.

Air Force is surprisingly competent on offense despite their weak KenPom ratings, and the Lobos boast one of the best offenses in the Mountain West. I'm expecting a lot of points for this matchup.

If you’re betting on any NCAAB action before March 17th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s College Basketball Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

Looking for more college basketball betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the upcoming college basketball odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.