NCAAB

College Basketball Betting Picks for Tuesday 2/20/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
College Basketball Betting Picks for Tuesday 2/20/24

The college basketball season always provides a flurry of twists and turns that few saw coming -- especially when March Madness comes around. This can make college basketball one of the most challenging sports to bet on.

Fortunately, we have plenty of tools available that can aid our chances of taking the most favorable college basketball bets. Bart Torvik and KenPom are excellent sources that give insights into team-level efficiency, and Sports Reference provides a wide range of useful team stats, as well.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and select some of the best bets of the day by utilizing the mentioned tools.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Best Bets

Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas A&M Aggies

Under 145.5 (-114)

The season has not gone as planned for Arkansas and Texas A&M. At 12-13, the Razorbacks' NCAA Tournament hopes are nearly over; their only path would be winning the SEC Tournament. After entering the season as a top 15 team in the AP Poll, the Aggies are 15-10 and cannot afford to slip going forward if they are to make March Madness.

While Tuesday's collision could lack little importance for March's much-anticipated postseason, this SEC matchup still features an intriguing line. With the total set at 145.5, the under feels like a wise pick.

Defense has been a weakness for both squads with Arkansas ranking 131st in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency and Texas A&M is 67th in the category. However, the Aggies rank among the top 13% for the slowest paces in college basketball. With fewer shot attempts, A&M could fail to take full advantage of the Razorbacks' weak defense.

Arkansas also ranks in the bottom 27% of field goal attempts per game and in the bottom 38% in effective field goal percentage (eFG%). The Hogs are in the bottom 15% in three-point shots per game, which proves they lean on two-point looks. The Aggies' defense could excel as they rank 96th percentile of two-point attempts allowed per contest. This could be yet another frustrating night for Arkansas' scoring output.

No. 1 UConn Huskies at No. 15 Creighton Bluejays

UConn -2.5 (-118)

Two top-25 matchups are scheduled for Tuesday's slate, including UConn against Creighton. This will likely be one of the Huskies' toughest road tests of the season along with their 69-65 loss at Kansas on December 1st. But after stomping then-No. 4 Marquette 81-53 on February 17th, it could be wise to keep backing Connecticut.

The Huskies had little trouble with the Bluejays in the previous head-to-head matchup on January 17th. In the 14-point win, Creighton was held to only 48 points while they shot a measly 6-of-26 from three (23.1%). Three-point shooting is pretty much the Bluejays' lifeblood as they sit in the 98th percentile of three-point shots per game and 48.3% of their shots come from beyond the arc (98th percentile).

UConn slowing the three-ball in the previous head-to-head meeting was no fluke; the Huskies are in the 93rd percentile in three-point attempts allowed per game, and opponents shoot only 32.1% of their shots from three (91st percentile). This will likely be a key area to watch once again.

The Bluejays also lost the paint battle in the previous collision. This result could be a bit more predictable with Creighton ranking last in two-point shots allowed per game while sitting in the bottom 7% of two-point attempts each contest. UConn is on the opposite end of spectrum as they rank in the 99th percentile of two-point percentage and in the 98th percentile of opponent two-point percentage.

There are no guarantees that the Huskies can limit Creighton's three-point barrage once again, but I like UConn's chances of controlling the interior. I'm depending on this advantage, which could potentially lead to the Huskies' cover against the spread (ATS).

No. 11 Baylor Bears at No. 25 BYU Cougars

Under 153.5 (-105)

The Big 12 provides yet another top-25 matchup with Baylor and BYU. These are two of the nation's top offenses with the Bears ranking fourth in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency while the Cougars are eighth in the category.

Even with two elite offenses going head-to-head, I'm backing the under, which is in line with numberFire's game projections. One aspect we should always look at is each team's shot selection. BYU loves to shoot the three, ranking in the 99th percentile of shots per game and 50.3% of their field goals come from beyond the arc (99th percentile).

The Bears could have the tools to slow this attack, for they are in the 77th percentile of three-point shots allowed per game. Plus, opponents have totaled only 19.4 three-point shots per game while shooting 35.1% from three over Baylor's previous five contests.

The Cougs also feature an exceptional perimeter defense, ranking in the 82nd percentile in three-point makes allowed per contest. While the Bears do not fire threes in bulk (54th percentile in attempts), they are extremely efficient from deep with the fourth-best percentage in the nation at 40.1%. This leads to Baylor ranking in the 87th percentile of three-point makes per game.

With each team's ability to limit the three-ball, I'm favoring the under for another must-see clash in the Big 12.


If you’re betting on any college basketball action on February 20th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.