Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 9

Odds updated as of 8:11 a.m.
The Atlanta Braves will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Thursday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves vs Pirates Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (53-38) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (47-46)
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: SportsNet PT and BravesVsn
Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-120) | PIT: (+102)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+134) | PIT: +1.5 (-162)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)
Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Bryce Elder (Braves) - 5-6, 4.01 ERA vs Mitch Keller (Pirates) - 6-6, 5.02 ERA
The Braves will give the ball to Bryce Elder (5-6, 4.01 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Mitch Keller (6-6, 5.02 ERA). Elder's team is 6-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Elder's team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-4. When Keller starts, the Pirates have gone 8-9-0 against the spread. The Pirates are 5-7 in Keller's 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (51.6%)
Braves vs Pirates Moneyline
- The Braves vs Pirates moneyline has Atlanta as a -120 favorite, while Pittsburgh is a +102 underdog at home.
Braves vs Pirates Spread
- The Braves are at the Pirates and are favored by 1.5 runs (+134 to cover) on the runline. Pittsburgh is -162 to cover.
Braves vs Pirates Over/Under
- Braves versus Pirates on July 9 has an over/under of 9.5 runs, with the odds on the over -104 and the under set at -118.
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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Braves have been favorites in 66 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (63.6%) in those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 37-19 when favored by -120 or more this year.
- The Braves' games have gone over the total in 41 of their 88 opportunities.
- The Braves are 47-41-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline 40 total times this season. They've gone 17-23 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, Pittsburgh has gone 11-17 (39.3%).
- The Pirates have played in 92 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-37-2).
- The Pirates have put together a 46-46-0 record against the spread this season (covering 50% of the time).
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson has 96 hits and an OBP of .339, both of which rank first among Atlanta hitters this season. He has a .270 batting average and a slugging percentage of .539.
- Among qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 48th, his on-base percentage ranks 63rd, and he is 12th in slugging.
- Ozzie Albies has 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 26 walks. He's batting .273 and slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .321.
- Among all qualified hitters, he is 43rd in batting average, 93rd in on-base percentage and 62nd in slugging percentage.
- Albies brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .238 with five doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
- Michael Harris II leads Atlanta in slugging percentage (.509) powered by 32 extra-base hits.
- Harris takes an eight-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .349 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and 11 RBIs.
- Mauricio Dubon has been key for Atlanta with 88 hits, an OBP of .327 plus a slugging percentage of .425.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Bryan Reynolds has an on-base percentage of .395, a team-high for the Pirates. He's batting .281 and slugging .470.
- He ranks 33rd in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in MLB.
- Brandon Lowe paces his team with 84 hits. He has a batting average of .247 while slugging .497 with an on-base percentage of .319.
- He is currently 94th in batting average, 99th in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
- Ryan O'Hearn paces the Pirates with 86 hits.
- Nick Gonzales is slugging .394 to lead his team.
Braves vs Pirates Head to Head
- 7/8/2026: 3-0 ATL (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 7/7/2026: 12-4 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 6/7/2026: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
- 6/6/2026: 6-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 6/5/2026: 6-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 9/28/2025: 4-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
- 9/27/2025: 3-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 9/26/2025: 9-3 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 5/11/2025: 4-3 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -240, Underdog Moneyline: +198)
- 5/10/2025: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
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