Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 1:11 p.m.

The Atlanta Braves versus the Pittsburgh Pirates is on the MLB schedule for Sunday.

All the information you need to make smart bets on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Braves vs Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves (19-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-27)
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: MLB Network, SportsNet PT, and FDSSO

Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-240) | PIT: (+198)
• Spread: ATL: -1.5 (-142) | PIT: +1.5 (+116)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 1-3, 4.07 ERA vs Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates) - 1-3, 6.16 ERA

The Braves will call on Chris Sale (1-3) versus the Pirates and Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3). Sale's team is 2-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Sale's team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3. The Pirates are 3-4-0 against the spread when Mlodzinski starts. The Pirates are 2-5 in Mlodzinski's seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (60.9%)

Braves vs Pirates Moneyline

• Pittsburgh is the underdog, +198 on the moneyline, while Atlanta is a -240 favorite despite being on the road.

Braves vs Pirates Spread

• The Braves are favored by 1.5 runs on the road against the Pirates. The Braves are -142 to cover the spread, while the Pirates are +116.

Braves vs Pirates Over/Under

• A combined run total of 8 has been set for Braves-Pirates on May 11, with the over at -108 and the under at -112.

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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Braves have been chosen as favorites in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (57.1%) in those games.
• This season Atlanta has come away with a win one time in three chances when named as a favorite of at least -240 on the moneyline.
• The Braves' games have gone over the total in 15 of their 38 opportunities.
• The Braves are 18-20-0 against the spread in their 38 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Pirates have gone 8-17 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 32% of those games).
• Pittsburgh has played as a moneyline underdog of +198 or longer in just two games this season, which it lost both.
• The Pirates have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times this season for a 17-21-1 record against the over/under.
• The Pirates have gone 14-25-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Player Leaders

• Matt Olson is hitting .221 with five doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .353 and a slugging percentage of .407.
• Among qualifying batters in baseball, he is 127th in batting average, 49th in on-base percentage, and 85th in slugging.
• Marcell Ozuna leads Atlanta in OBP (.424) this season, fueled by 33 hits. He's batting .268 while slugging .431.
• His batting average ranks 57th among qualified players, his on-base percentage third, and his slugging percentage 63rd.
• Ozzie Albies has collected 34 base hits, an OBP of .276 and a slugging percentage of .340 this season.
• Austin Riley leads Atlanta with 46 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .475.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has an on-base percentage of .369 and has 31 hits, both team-best numbers for the Pirates. He's batting .238 and slugging .462.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he is 107th in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage and 49th in slugging percentage.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .250 with seven doubles, three home runs and 15 walks. He's slugging .393 with an on-base percentage of .344.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 84th, his on-base percentage ranks 61st, and he is 97th in slugging.
• Bryan Reynolds has five doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while batting .215.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes' .305 slugging percentage paces his team.

Braves vs Pirates Head to Head

• 5/10/2025: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
• 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 5/24/2024: 11-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: +152, Underdog Moneyline: N/A)
• 9/10/2023: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
• 9/9/2023: 8-4 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)

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