Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.
On Sunday in MLB, the Atlanta Braves are up against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves vs Pirates Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (19-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-27)
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: MLB Network, SportsNet PT, and FDSSO
Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-210) | PIT: (+176)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (-118) | PIT: +1.5 (-102)
- Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 1-3, 4.07 ERA vs Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates) - 1-3, 6.16 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Chris Sale (1-3) to the mound, while Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3) will get the nod for the Pirates. Sale's team is 2-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Sale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-3. When Mlodzinski starts, the Pirates are 3-4-0 against the spread. The Pirates have a 2-5 record in Mlodzinski's seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (61.1%)
Braves vs Pirates Moneyline
- The Braves vs Pirates moneyline has Atlanta as a -210 favorite, while Pittsburgh is a +176 underdog at home.
Braves vs Pirates Spread
- The Pirates are +1.5 on the run line against the Braves. The Pirates are -102 to cover, and the Braves are -118.
Braves vs Pirates Over/Under
- The over/under for the Braves versus Pirates game on May 11 has been set at 8, with -114 odds on the over and -106 odds on the under.
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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Braves have been chosen as favorites in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (57.1%) in those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 4-2 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -210 or more on the moneyline.
- The Braves' games have gone over the total in 15 of their 38 opportunities.
- The Braves have an against the spread mark of 18-20-0 in 38 games with a line this season.
- The Pirates have won 32% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (8-17).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +176 or longer, Pittsburgh has a record of 1-2 (33.3%).
- The Pirates have played in 39 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-21-1).
- The Pirates have a 14-25-0 record ATS this season (covering only 35.9% of the time).
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson has five doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks while batting .221. He has an on-base percentage of .353 and a slugging percentage of .407.
- Among all qualified batters, he ranks 127th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 49th, and he is 85th in slugging.
- Marcell Ozuna has 33 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .424. He's batting .268 and slugging .431.
- Among qualified batters, his batting average places him 57th, his on-base percentage third, and his slugging percentage 63rd.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .218 with a .340 slugging percentage and 15 RBI this year.
- Austin Riley leads Atlanta with 46 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .475.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Oneil Cruz has accumulated an on-base percentage of .369 and has 31 hits, both team-best marks for the Pirates. He's batting .238 and slugging .462.
- Including all the qualified players in the big leagues, he ranks 107th in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage and 49th in slugging percentage.
- Andrew McCutchen has seven doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while hitting .250. He's slugging .393 with an on-base percentage of .344.
- Including all qualifying players, he ranks 84th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 97th in slugging percentage.
- Bryan Reynolds is batting .215 with five doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
- Ke'Bryan Hayes is slugging .305 to lead his team.
Braves vs Pirates Head to Head
- 5/10/2025: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
- 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 5/24/2024: 11-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: +152, Underdog Moneyline: N/A)
- 9/10/2023: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 9/9/2023: 8-4 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
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