MLB

Boston Red Sox Odds to Win the World Series

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Boston Red Sox Odds to Win the World Series

The Boston Red Sox are looking to rebound from a last place finish in the AL East in 2023. Their 78-84 record was ninth in the American League, a sign of how competitive the AL East was.

After appointing a new chief baseball officer, Craig Breslow, 2024 is the start of a new era in Boston. Since their World Series win in 2018, the Red Sox have made the playoffs just once in five seasons and finished last in the AL East in three of their last four.

What are the Red Sox's odds to win the World Series, per the World Series odds at FanDuel Sportsbook?

The Boston Red Sox are listed at +5000 to win the World Series, tied for the 15th best odds.

Let's look at what we can expect from the Red Sox in 2024.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Red Sox World Series Odds

Odds to Win the World Series: +5000 (15th)

Red Sox Betting Odds

Red Sox Projections

nERD via numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

  • nERD: -0.45 (18th)
  • Wins: 81 (14th)
  • Runs Per Game: 4.92 (5th)
  • Runs Allowed Per Game: 4.92 (24th)
  • Run Differential: +1 (15th)

Red Sox Analysis

Last season, the Red Sox had a clear strength and a clear weakness.

Their 772 runs scored ranked 11th, and they finished with the 9th-best slugging percentage (0.424) and 6th-best batting average (0.258) in baseball. They were also an above average side in on-base percentage (0.324). Masataka Yoshida’s debut season was a successful one, and the performances of Jarren Duran and Triston Casas (in the second half of the season) were bright spots.

Unfortunately, any success the Sox had at the plate was erased by their pitching. Boston allowed 776 runs in 2023, 10th-most in the majors. The result? A run differential of -4 that ranked 17th. Boston was one of only two teams that ranked inside the top 14 in runs scored but finished with a negative run differential. The other team was the Cincinnati Reds.

This offseason saw the departure of outfielder Alex Verdugo, traded to the New York Yankees, and pitcher Chris Sale, traded to the Atlanta Braves for infielderVaughn Grissom. Boston also brought in outfielder Tyler O'Neill and pitcher Lucas Giolito, the latter signing a two-year, $38.5 million contract. All in all, it was a rather underwhelming offseason for a team expected to compete for the biggest prize in the sport.

Looking ahead, the question for 2024 is, did the Red Sox do enough this offseason to change their short-term outlook? FanGraphs’ projections point toward a Boston side that is slightly improved from 2023 but still has the same overall strengths and weaknesses.

Their projected runs scored per game of 4.92 ranks fifth-best, but they are also projected to allow 4.92 runs per game, seventh-worst. The projected result? An 81-81 finish, 3 wins more than last year but not enough to change the outcome of the season.

Boston has the look of a team that will play in numerous high-scoring games this season. Unless their pitching rotation drastically improves, they could be headed towards another season without a playoff appearance. That said, unlike most teams, Boston is projected to have half the equation figured out; they just need to solve their troubles on the mound.

Every Team's Odds to Win the World Series

  • Los Angeles Dodgers (+320)
  • Atlanta Braves (+450)
  • Houston Astros (+700)
  • New York Yankees (+800)
  • Texas Rangers (+1400)
  • Philadelphia Phillies (+1500)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+1500)
  • Minnesota Twins (+2000)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (+2000)
  • Seattle Mariners (+2000)
  • St. Louis Cardinals (+3200)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (+3300)
  • Chicago Cubs (+3500)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks (+4000)
  • New York Mets (+5000)
  • Boston Red Sox (+5000)
  • Cincinnati Reds (+5500)
  • San Diego Padres (+6000)
  • Detroit Tigers (+6000)
  • San Francisco Giants (+6500)
  • Cleveland Guardians (+7500)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (+8500)
  • Miami Marlins (+9000)
  • Kansas City Royals (+15000)
  • Los Angeles Angels (+18000)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (+20000)
  • Washington Nationals +25000)
  • Chicago White Sox (+25000)
  • Oakland Athletics (+50000)
  • Colorado Rockies (+50000)

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.