Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 8:12 p.m.
The Houston Astros versus the Tampa Bay Rays is on the MLB schedule for Friday.
All the info you need to make smart bets on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.
Astros vs Rays Game Info
- Houston Astros (43-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (51-33)
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Daikin Park -- Houston, Texas
- Coverage: Apple TV+
Astros vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: HOU: (-108) | TB: (-108)
- Spread: HOU: +1.5 (-178) | TB: -1.5 (+146)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)
Astros vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti (Astros) - 7-4, 4.00 ERA vs Nick Martínez (Rays) - 7-2, 2.66 ERA
The Astros will give the ball to Spencer Arrighetti (7-4, 4.00 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Rays will counter with Nick Martinez (7-2, 2.66 ERA). Arrighetti's team is 8-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Arrighetti's team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Rays have a 12-4-0 ATS record in Martínez's 16 starts with a set spread. The Rays are 7-2 in Martínez's nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Astros vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (56.3%)
Astros vs Rays Moneyline
- The Astros vs Rays moneyline has Houston as a -108 favorite, while Tampa Bay is a -108 underdog on the road.
Astros vs Rays Spread
Astros vs Rays Over/Under
- A combined run total of 9 has been set for Astros-Rays on July 3, with the over at -106 and the under at -114.
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Astros vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Astros have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This year Houston has won 15 of 34 games when listed as at least -108 on the moneyline.
- The Astros and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 89 opportunities.
- The Astros are 41-48-0 against the spread in their 89 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline 27 total times this season. They've gone 15-12 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, Tampa Bay has a record of 15-12 (55.6%).
- The Rays have played in 83 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-43-1).
- The Rays have collected a 51-32-0 record against the spread this season (covering 61.4% of the time).
Astros Player Leaders
- Yordan Alvarez has 100 hits and an OBP of .433 to go with a slugging percentage of .620. All three of those stats are tops among Houston hitters this season. He has a .319 batting average, as well.
- Among qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks fourth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
- Alvarez will look for his third straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a home run, four walks and four RBIs.
- Christian Walker has 16 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 30 walks. He's batting .239 and slugging .469 with an on-base percentage of .310.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is 111th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging percentage.
- Isaac Paredes has collected 74 base hits, an OBP of .346 and a slugging percentage of .416 this season.
- Cam Smith has been key for Houston with 65 hits, an OBP of .297 plus a slugging percentage of .387.
- Smith has safely hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, three home runs and four RBIs.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero has totaled 92 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .288 and slugging .552 with an on-base percentage of .378.
- Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 22nd in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 17th and he is sixth in slugging.
- Yandy Diaz's .410 on-base percentage and .498 slugging percentage are both team-highs. He has a batting average of .326.
- His batting average is second among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks third, and he is 23rd in slugging.
- Jonathan Aranda has 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 walks while batting .292.
- Chandler Simpson is batting .278 with eight doubles, four triples and 18 walks.
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