Arizona vs Purdue College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (35-2) and No. 2 seed Purdue Boilermakers (30-8) will both aim for a place in the NCAA Tournament Final Four when they meet on Saturday at SAP Center at San Jose. The matchup begins at 8:49 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Arizona vs. Purdue Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Game time: 8:49 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TBS
- Location: San Jose, California
- Arena: SAP Center at San Jose
Arizona vs. Purdue Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (69.2%)
Take a look at some betting insights for Arizona (-5.5) versus Purdue on Saturday. The total has been set at 153.5 points for this game.
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Arizona vs. Purdue: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Arizona has covered 23 times in 37 chances against the spread this season.
- Purdue is 17-20-0 ATS this year.
- When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Arizona (16-12) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (57.1%) than Purdue (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
- Against the spread, the Wildcats have played better when playing at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
- This year, the Boilermakers are 5-12-0 at home against the spread (.294 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
Arizona vs. Purdue: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Arizona has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 27 games this year and has walked away with the win 25 times (92.6%) in those games.
- The Wildcats have a win-loss record of 20-1 when favored by -280 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Purdue has put together a 3-1 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 75% of those games).
- The Boilermakers have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +225 or longer.
- Arizona has an implied victory probability of 73.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Arizona vs. Purdue Head-to-Head Comparison
- Arizona has a +657 scoring differential, topping opponents by 17.8 points per game. It is putting up 86.7 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball and is giving up 68.9 per contest to rank 54th in college basketball.
- Brayden Burries is 206th in the nation with a team-high 16.2 points per game.
- Purdue's +448 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 82.1 points per game (48th in college basketball) while allowing 70.3 per outing (74th in college basketball).
- Braden Smith paces Purdue, putting up 14.3 points per game (372nd in college basketball).
- The Wildcats come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 12.1 boards. They are recording 39.9 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.8 per outing.
- Tobe Awaka averages 9.2 rebounds per game (ranking 22nd in college basketball) to lead the Wildcats.
- The Boilermakers are 129th in college basketball at 32.7 rebounds per game. That's 6.6 more than the 26.1 their opponents average.
- Trey Kaufman-Renn is 52nd in college basketball with 8.5 rebounds per game, leading the Boilermakers.
- Arizona records 106.2 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball), while allowing 84.5 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).
- The Boilermakers average 110.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (second in college basketball), and give up 95 points per 100 possessions (169th in college basketball).
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