AFC South Odds: Houston Will Be a Problem

With football training camps on the horizon, now is a great time to dive into the robust futures markets via the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel Sportsbook is offering markets -- via their NFL odds -- on NFL win totals, odds to make the NFL playoffs, and NFL division odds among others. Although there could still be moves made before the 2024-25 campaign begins, let's dive into the odds and outlook for each team in the AFC South.
All NFL odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after this article is published.
AFC South Odds
Team | FanDuel Sportsbook Odds |
---|---|
Houston Texans | +105 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +270 |
Indianapolis Colts | +330 |
Tennessee Titans | +800 |
Houston Texans 2024 Outlook
Projected Win Total: 9.5 (-150 on the over)
Odds to Make the Playoffs: -194
Odds to Win the AFC South: +105
Odds to Win the AFC: +850
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +1600 (tied for 9th-best)
As the 2023 AFC South winner, the Houston Texans are looking to win back-to-back division titles for the fourth time in franchise history. That totals seven AFC South crowns for Houston since 2011.
Including playoffs, the Texans won as many games last year as the past three campaigns combined. Head coach DeMeco Ryans and quarterback C.J. Stroud have orchestrated one of the swiftest rebuilds you'll ever see from a pro sports franchise. Notably, Stroud shined behind 8.2 yards per passing attempt -- third amongst qualified starters -- along with a 23-5 TD-INT ratio.
According to numberFire, Houston's D landed middle of the pack in 2023 (allowing 20.8 PPG), but their defense against the run was ranked 8th in the NFL. Joining that group in the coming year will be studs Danielle Hunter and Azeez Al-Shaair; the Texans seem to be only getting better.
On offense, Stroud's group will also be improved going forward. Tight end Dalton Schultz will be back in H-Town as the veteran recently signed a three-year, $36 million contract. From there, Houston traded three future draft picks to the Buffalo Bills for All-Pro receiver Stefon Diggs.
Undoubtedly, the Texans will be a side to watch in 2024. At FanDuel Sportsbook, they are a +105 favorite in AFC South betting market; hey, that's still plus money! However, based on 2023 winning percentages (.526), Houston has the fourth toughest schedule in the coming year.
Jacksonville Jaguars 2024 Outlook
Projected Win Total: 8.5 (-115 on the over)
Odds to Make the Playoffs: +118
Odds to Win the AFC South: +270
Odds to Win the AFC: +2100
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +4500 (17th-best)
Another NFL franchise possessing intriguing potential, the Jacksonville Jaguars are entering Year 3 with Doug Pederson as head coach. He has a talented crop of players to work with in Jacksonville, but the Jaguars have managed 9-8 records in back-to-back seasons. Interestingly enough, those results were good enough to win the AFC South in 2022.
Since inauguration (1995), the Jags have only won four division titles. Be that as it may, they are currently working with one of their best groups in team history.
Signal-caller Trevor Lawrence has all the tangible quarterbacking skills you could hope for. Meanwhile, Evan Engram, Christian Kirk, Gabriel Davis and rookie Brian Thomas Jr. make up a strong receiving corps. From there, the offense is rounded out by tailback Travis Etienne, who has rushed for more than 1,000 in each season since entering the league.
For 2024, they are looking for a few defensive improvements in Duval County. Last year, the Jaguars allowed 21.8 PPG, which ranked 17th of 32 teams. Against the run, they surrendered a total of 15 touchdowns and 4.2 yards per carry. Those figures will need to be better.
As it is now, Jacksonville is labeled with +270 odds to win the division. When it comes to the playoff market, the Jags have +118 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, which carries a 45.9% implied probability.
Indianapolis Colts 2024 Outlook
Projected Win Total: 8.5 (-104 on the over)
Odds to Make the Playoffs: +146
Odds to Win the AFC South: +330
Odds to Win the AFC: +2500
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +5500 (T20th-best)
If all goes according to plan in the Hoosier State of Indiana, the Anthony Richardson project will be in full swing this season. Simply, the Indianapolis Colts are another franchise that is quite difficult to gauge right now. Still, if we are to get an authentic feel, it must be with Richardson taking the snaps in head coach Shane Steichen's offense.
In 2023, the 6-foot-4 quarterback produced seven all-purpose touchdowns (four rushing/three passing) and only one interception throughout four games of action. Of course, Richardson suffered a shoulder injury in Week 5, which ultimately ended his rookie campaign. So, what can we expect from the dual-threat player this year?
To make Richardson's job easier, running back Jonathan Taylor is still in Indy. With contract disputes out of the way, Taylor is looking to play a full season for the first time since he won the rushing title in 2021 (churning out 1,811 yards on the ground). If opposing defenses are preoccupied with slowing down the J-Train, Richardson will be able to fully utilize his athletic gifts.
Michael Pittman Jr. should continue his role as Colts WR1, but he'll be getting a fine complement in rookie receiver AD Mitchell. After starring for the Texas Longhorns and Georgia Bulldogs in college, Mitchell brings a well-rounded skill set to the Circle City.
Despite a competitive 9-8 record last season, Indianapolis was one of the worst defenses in the conference. By year's end, the Colts surrendered a whopping 24.4 PPG, which was the fifth-highest clip in the NFL. To compound frustrations, they narrowly missed the playoffs. Look for Indy to have a chip on their collective shoulders in 2024.
Tennessee Titans 2024 Outlook
Projected Win Total: 6.5 (-134 on the under)
Odds to Make the Playoffs: +470
Odds to Win the AFC South: +800
Odds to Win the AFC: +6000
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +13000 (28th-best)
Of all teams grouped in the AFC South, the Tennessee Titans appear deepest in rebuild mode. The NFL franchise in Nashville recently moved on from Mike Vrabel, electing instead to go with the offensive-minded Brian Callahan. A former quarterback for the UCLA Bruins, Callahan is also the son of former Oakland Raiders HC Bill Callahan.
Naturally, there is plenty to address with this squad. Last year, the Titans scored only 17.9 PPG. When you realize that Tennessee ranked 28th in total yardage, those offensive woes are amplified.
With Ryan Tannehill now a free agent, quarterback Will Levis has the keys to the car. Of course, the Titans kept busy this offseason by looking for Levis' running mates. Joining DeAndre Hopkins in Tennessee's receiving corps are fellow vets Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd. Next, halfback Tony Pollard returns to his home state in hopes of shining in Music City.
At the 2024 NFL Draft, the Titans wisely added protection by selecting Alabama Crimson Tide offensive tackle JC Latham. At 6-foot-6, 320 pounds, Latham earned a 81.9 blocking grade -- from Pro Football Focus -- in his final collegiate season.
Still, we should not rule out Tennessee entirely. Sure, they are currently priced with eight-to-one odds within FanDuel Sportsbook's divisional market, but the Texans found themselves in a similar hole last campaign. A year ago (May 2023), Houston was listed with +800 odds to win the AFC South. Of course, the rest is history.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.