3 WNBA Prop Bets to Target for Wednesday 5/29/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
3 WNBA Prop Bets to Target for Wednesday 5/29/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and FanDuel Sportsbook's WNBA odds offer a slew of ways to get in on the action via point spreads, totals, moneylines and player props.

In this article, we'll focus on the day's top prop bets. Let's dig in.

All WNBA odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook, and lines are subject to change after this article is published.

WNBA Prop Bets

Tina Charles Over 13.5 Points (-106)

With the Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics squaring off in D.C. tonight, points should be plentiful.

The Dream and Mystics have the second- and third-worst defensive ratings this season, and that's reflected in a slate-high 171.5 over/under.

But Atlanta's at least made up for that with the WNBA's fourth-highest scoring offense, so we can look their way for some points props.

I'm targeting Tina Charles' over in this one, currently set at 13.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The all-time great has gotten off to a solid start with the Dream, averaging 13.3 points per game on 47.9% shooting. She's eclipsed 13.5 points in two of four games, including a 21-point outburst in the season opener.

Charles has solidified her role as a primary option in this Atlanta offense, tying for the second-most shot attempts per game (12.0). Of her 13.3 points per game, 7.5 have come in the paint and 3.3 have come via second-chance opportunities. Her 2.0 offensive rebounds per game is a top-15 mark league-wide.

With those numbers, the 6'4" Charles should feast inside against the Mystics. Entering Wednesday's action, Washington had surrendered the fifth-most points in the paint while posting the third-lowest defensive rebound rate in the W.

Against an exploitable Mystics interior, look for Tina Charles to go over 13.5 points tonight.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 16.5 Points (-114)

Through six games, the Phoenix Mercury have the W's fourth-worst defensive rating yet lead the league in pace.

That bodes well for some New York Liberty points props.

I'll turn to Sabrina Ionescu who sports -114 odds to go over 16.5 points on FanDuel Sportsbook.

After posting career-best marks from the field (42.3%) and three (44.8%) in 2023, Sabrina has been ice-cold to kick off the season. She's shooting just 38.6% overall and 27.3% from three, and she's failed to make half her shots in any game this season.

But that hasn't stopped her from averaging 15.5 points per game, and she's quietly exceeded 17 points in two of her last three. She hit that mark in 18 of 36 regular season games last season, so expect more from the 26-year-old going forward.

Tonight's date with Phoenix presents a good opportunity for her to get back on track. In addition to their frenetic pace and them allowing the second-most points per game, the Mercury have also given up the second-most three-point attempts per game. Despite Ionescu's shooting woes, she's still seventh in three-point attempts. On top of that, her usage rate (24.2%) is actually up from last season.

It doesn't hurt that the Mercury are in the second leg of a back-to-back, and that they've lost their last two games by a combined 38 points.

In a plus matchup, look for Sabrina Ionescu to get back on track and go over 16.5 points tonight.

Alanna Smith Over 13.5 Points (-108)

While I'd typically advise against targeting the Las Vegas Aces for an opposing points prop, their defense has taken a step back from 2023. After leading the league in defensive rating last season, Vegas is down to eighth in 2024. It's only a four-game sample, but they've allowed 85 points per game thus far.

With the Minnesota Lynx sporting the second-best record in the W early on, this is a nice spot for them to put up points on the defending champs at home.

In general, the Lynx still haven't garnered much respect betting-wise. They're 4.5-point underdogs tonight, and several of their players' points props are well below their season averages.

Alanna Smith is one of those. The 6'4" forward is in the midst of a breakout as her 16.0 points per game is on pace to shatter her previous career high.

But tonight, Smith's points prop is set at just 13.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook -- a line I'm all over.

Smith has scored at least 15 points in four of five games. And the one game she didn't, Alanna was limited to just 23 minutes before eventually fouling out.

She's coming off a 17-point outing against the Dream, during which she attempted 12 shots. That was the third time this season she's hoisted double-digit attempts, and she's exceeded 13.5 points in all three. That tracks with last season when she cleared 13.5 in four of six games with double-digit shots.

Granted, Smith is shooting a scorching 64.7% from three on 3.4 attempts per game this season. That's bound to regress at some point, but it could come in handy against an Aces defense that's surrendered the most made and attempted three-point field goals per game.

But even if she isn't firing from deep, Smith can still go over this points prop in a pace-up spot for the Lynx. While Minnesota is down at 11th in pace, Vegas is third.

Simply put, Alanna Smith's points prop tonight doesn't reflect how heavily utilized and efficient she's been this season. With the third-highest usage rate (20.8%) among healthy Lynx, I like her to stay hot and cruise past this line. Given her blistering start, I have my eye on Alanna Smith to score 15+ points (+132), too.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.