3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Mavericks-Timberwolves Game 5

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Mavericks-Timberwolves Game 5

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NBA odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

NBA Prop Bets

Mike Conley Over 20.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-115)

The Minnesota Timberwolves strong-armed their way out of a sweep last night and will now look to carry that momentum into Game 5 against the Dallas Mavericks.

As the series returns to Minneapolis, let's look for Mike Conley to continue his role as an all-around steady force.

Conley has, perhaps inconspicuously, been averaging 21.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) in the playoffs. He's surpassed 20.5 PRA in 11 out of 14 postseason contests.

The veteran guard has shined even brighter on his home court. Dating back to the second round of the playoffs, Conley is averaging 22.0 PRA and has cleared 20.5 PRA in four out of five home contests.

In this series, he is averaging 13.8 combined rebound chances and potential assists per game. He also sees consistent looks from downtown, shooting at least four three-point attempts (3PA) in eight straight games and at least five 3PA in seven of those contests. Those downtown looks mean a lot when considering he shot threes at a walloping 44.2% clip (third-best in the NBA) this season.

Despite shooting threes at a 36.4% rate and going 6-for-11 from the free-throw line (91.1% FT% in the regular season) in this series, Conley has still managed to clear 20.5 PRA in three straight games against Dallas. Unlike some of his teammates, Conley is rarely a foul-trouble candidate, so he's backed by fairly reliable minutes. He also doesn't draw particular intense focus from Dallas' defense, leaving him with room to act as a scorer or a playmaker.

As Minnesota attempts to extend their season one more game, I'm keen on backing their most experienced postseason player.

Derrick Jones Jr. Under 8.5 Points (-111)

It's a given that Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving will continue to shoulder the load of Dallas' scoring charge.

If anything, I wouldn't be surprised to see Doncic take on a bigger shot volume in Game 5. He's taken an average of just 20.5 field-goal attempts (FGA) across his last two games, while he averaged 23.6 FGA in the regular season, 25.5 FGA in the first round of the playoffs, and 24.5 FGA across the first two games of this series.

Add in some key periphery pieces on the mend -- namely Maxi Kleber and Dereck Lively -- and I'm not convinced Derrick Jones Jr. will factor in on offense.

Jones is averaging 8.0 points per game in this series. He's exceeded nine points in just one of four contests, which correlated with a 3-for-3 shooting night from behind the arc.

He's been even more questionable on the road. Not only did he score just eight and four points in the pair of games in Minny, but he's also struggling with a 29.2% three-point percentage (3P%) in away playoff games (7-for-24).

These road struggles are strikingly similar to his regular-season marks. Jones averaged 9.7 points and a 39.2% 3P% in Dallas, while he averaged 7.6 points and a 29.4% 3P% as a visitor this season.

Past Doncic and Irving, it's easy to see how PJ Washington fits in as an outside scorer and Daniel Gafford fares as a paint scorer. Lively's status is trending in a positive direction and Jaden Hardy has thrown his hat in the ring as an eligible bench scorer.

With all this in mind, it seems Jones would need to get hot from three-point land to clear this prop. Since he's shown consistent shooting struggles on the road and has yet to shoot more than three 3PA in any game of this series, I'm willing to bet against that.

Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 Made Threes (-113)

Anthony Edwards has averaged an uncharacteristic 3.5 3PA across his last two games. With his season on the line and a game in front of the T-Wolves faithful inbound, I expect him to step back into character tomorrow night.

Edwards is averaging 8.3 3PA in home playoff games and shot a combined 19 3PA in his two home games during the Western Conference Finals.

He's been shooting at a sustainable 38.5% accuracy, which has allowed him to accumulate 3.57 3PM per home game, draining at least three three-pointers in five out of seven contests in this split.

Notably, the Mavericks have been holding teams to 30.1 3PA on their home floor, but they're surrendering 35.8 3PA as a visitor in the playoffs. In the regular season, that three-point shot volume allowed would be good for the 12th-most in the NBA.

The home versus away numbers on both sides indicate that Edwards is primed to see plenty of looks from long range. If he hits one in the opening quarter, I wouldn't be surprised to see him carry that momentum throughout the duration of Game 5.

I'd consider giving Anthony Edwards 4+ Made Threes (+220) a look, too.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.