3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Mavericks-Timberwolves Game 2

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Rebounds (+106)

The Minnesota Timberwolves will need to clean it up against the Dallas Mavericks tonight, especially after getting beat on the boards and outscored in the paint by 24 points in Game 1.

Luckily, the Wolves have the assets to do just that, so I'm looking for Rudy Gobert to have a big rebounding night after a tough showing on Wednesday.

Gobert averaged 12.9 rebounds per game in the regular season and has eclipsed 12.5 rebounds in 5 out of 12 postseason games.

In games where he has played at least 30 minutes, he is averaging 13.9 boards and exceeded 12.5 rebounds in 64.2% of contests (43 out of 67 games). These +106 odds, meanwhile, imply just a 48.5% probability. Based on his 34.6 minutes per game average in the playoffs, it's easy to see the value with these plus odds.

Regression, which will be key for this prop, looks primed to rear its head tonight. As mentioned, Gobert averaged 12.9 rebounds in the regular season, and he did so off of 22.8 rebound chances per game. This means he was converting rebound chances to the stat sheet at a 56.6% rate.

While he's been converting rebound chances at a lower 53.6% clip during the playoffs, this is still key when figuring out what went wrong in Game 1.

On Wednesday, Gobert recorded only 7 rebounds despite seeing a whopping 25 rebound chances. Had Gobert converted rebound chances at his regular-season rate, he would've ended up with 14.2 rebounds, and had he converted at his playoff rate, he would've logged 13.4 rebounds.

Look for Gobert to capitalize off of chances at a normal rate in this one. Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively combined for 20 rebounds in Game 1, so this year's Defensive Player of the Year should come in with some extra motivation after struggling to control the interior.

FanDuel Research's projections expect him to grab 13.1 rebounds in this one.

Jaden McDaniels Under 1.5 Made Threes (+112)

Jaden McDaniels had a triumphant performance in Game 1, scoring 24 points and going 6-for-9 from downtown.

He's a solid scorer and a great all-around player, but even still, it might be apt to back the under on his made threes following an uncharacteristic clinic from long range.

In the regular season, McDaniels averaged 1.2 three-point makes (3PM) off of 3.5 three-point attempts (3PA). He's been netting a similar 1.4 3PM off of 3.4 3PA in the postseason.

Prior to Wednesday, McDaniels was shooting a mere 2.9 3PA in each playoff game. He's nailed under 1.5 triples in 8 out of 12 postseason contests.

While he's been shooting threes at a 41.7% clip in the playoffs, he did struggle with a 33.7% three-point percentage in the regular season.

But even if McDaniels continues to shoot at an above-average clip, it's hard to have faith in his potential given an underwhelming shot volume. He's taken just 4.0 3PA or fewer in 10 out of 12 playoff games, while he's shot 2.0 3PA or fewer in five of those games.

In Game 1, the Timberwolves took a towering 49 looks from behind the arc. This was an atypical way of doing business for Minnesota, who averaged 32.7 3PA (eighth-fewest) in the regular season and have been shooting 33.7 3PA in the playoffs.

I'd expect the Wolves to stray away from threes in favor of interior scoring, which should go hand-in-hand with McDaniels returning to his usual low output from long range.

P.J. Washington Over 18.5 Pts + Reb (-104)

PJ Washington quietly posted 20 combined points and rebounds (PR) in Game 1 off of below-average shooting numbers, and I like his chances to enter the range again in Game 2.

In the regular season, Washington averaged 18.5 PR. He's been netting 21.0 PR per postseason game after a red-hot streak in the second round and has cleared 18.5 PR in 7 out of 13 games in this span.

Beyond Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, Washington (35.3 minutes per game) is the only player on Dallas who has been seeing more than 31.0 minutes of action.

In 31 games where Washington has played at least 30 minutes for the Mavs, he is averaging 21.0 PR.

He nets 57.3% of his points from downtown, which is a great sign considering Dallas could have a busy night from the three-point line. On Wednesday, Minnesota held Dallas to a mere 25 3PA, but they rerouted without missing a beat, scoring 62 points in the paint.

As Minnesota looks to even things up, they will need to prioritize protecting the paint, which in turn should provide Washington with plenty of outside looks.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.