3 NBA Finals Series Props to Target

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8

The 2024 NBA Finals is only days away from tipping off. The Boston Celtics are rolling in as the favorite to win the series (-225), per FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA Finals odds. Despite carrying one of the best records in the NBA since March, the Dallas Mavericks are +188 to win their second NBA title.

FanDuel is offering a smorgasbord of odds for the upcoming series. This includes several series long props. Which series props are standing out as great value? Check out some of the most enticing lines for the 2024 NBA Finals.

Celtics 2-1 Score After 3 Games (+105)

While Boston is 12-2 in the playoffs, both of their losses came at home. Each one was a surprise as well with the Miami Heat winning by 10 points as a 14-point underdog in Game 2 of the first round, and the Cleveland Cavaliers took out the Celtics by 24 points as 13-point dogs in Game 2 of the semifinals.

They have built a bit of reputation for dropping early games at home. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have flourished on the road early in playoff series. Dallas is used to this role as a 5 seed. In the first two games of each series, the Mavs have a combined record of 4-2 in the 2024 postseason. Keep in mind that all of these games took place on the road. Dallas even went 3-0 as the visitors in the Western Conference Finals (WCF) against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

You probably see where I'm going with this pick. I believe there's a great chance that the Mavericks snag Game 1 or Game 2 on the road as underdogs. Boston's only losses in the playoffs have been under these circumstances, and Dallas has been excellent away from home.

The Mavs leading the series 2-1 after Game 3 is another enticing bet with +210 odds. However, I'm not getting this bold as the Celtics leading 2-1 still has great value at +105.

Luka Doncic to Make Most Threes in Series (+110)

When looking at FanDuel's NBA Finals odds, the Finals MVP race looks to be a two-man race between Jayson Tatum and Luka Doncic. Tatum is the favorite (-125) while Luka is +210 for the award; the next-shortest odds are Jaylen Brown at +700.

Doncic has the stats to back up these odds as he's totaling 28.8 points per game (PPG), 9.6 rebounds per game (RPG), and 8.8 assists per game (APG) during the postseason. After logging 24.7 PPG in the semifinals, we saw Luka increase his scoring total to 32.4 PPG in the WCF.

His three-point attempts spiked to 10.6 per game compared to 7.7 each contest in the semifinals. Most importantly, Doncic's efficiency was excellent in his previous series at 43.4% from three-point land. Luka has the best shot to lead the series in made threes, and the value is still there with +110 odds.

His best competition will likely be Derrick White (+330), Tatum (+600), and Kyrie Irving (+600). However, no one is close to Doncic's 9.8 three-point shots per game in the playoffs. White is at 8.4, Tatum is shooting 7.1 each contest, and Irving is attempting only 6.3 per game. White just shot 33.3% from deep in the Eastern Conference Finals and has only made 4 of his last 17 three-point shots (23.5%). Additionally, Tatum is carrying a 29.0% three-point percentage in the postseason.

The workload should still be there for Luka, for the Celtics gave up the 10th-most three-point shots per game during the regular season. Opponents also had the 13th-highest shot distribution from three against Boston.

P.J. Washington to Score 25+ Points in Any Game of Series (+200)

PJ Washington was one of the heroes of the Mavericks-Thunder series. He totaled 17.7 PPG, including 27 and 29-point outings, while shooting a blistering 46.9% from three.

In the WCF, Washington came back down to Earth, averaging 12.2 PPG with a 25.0% three-point percentage. The starting forward is still shooting better than 36.0% from three during the postseason, and he's the team's third-leading scorer in the playoffs at 13.6 PPG.

Among FanDuel's NBA Finals series props, Washington to reach 25 points in any game of the series is quite interesting. The +200 odds make this risk worthwhile.

I believe the matchup is present against the Celtics. As previously mentioned, Boston gives up plenty of three-point shots. Washington has established a shooting specialist role during the playoffs, creating the ideal matchup; over 50.0% of his shots come from three. If Washington catches fire in one of these games, reaching 25 points is certainly within the cards.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.