MLB

3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Monday 5/13/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Monday 5/13/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Prop Bets

Jose Altuve To Record 2+ Total Bases (+100)

Jose Altuve has not recorded 2+ bases in five straight games, but I think this drought ends tonight in what will be a friendly matchup for the otherwise reliable veteran.

Altuve and company will take on Ross Stripling and the Oakland Athletics.

Stripling owned a 4.24 ERA prior to his most recent start, where he was lit up for 10 H, 11 R, and 5 ER through 1 2/3 IP.

He now comes in with a 5.14 ERA, 4.50 SIERA, and low 15.3% K%, but it's his numbers against righties that draw the most concern.

Dating back to last season, Stripling has been struggling with a 5.75 ERA against righties. He's letting up a lot of power to this handedness, allowing 1.74 HR/9 and a .470 SLG in this span.

Righties tend to get the ball in play against Stripling, who is sporting a mere 13.9% K% and 3.9% walk rate in that same timeframe.

This is excellent news for Altuve. Not only will he face a pitcher who is producing a low walk and strikeout rate, but he also has numbers that indicate he can reach base on his own volition.

This season, Altuve is rocking with a .330 BA, .557 SLG, .226 ISO, and 170 wRC+ versus right-handed pitchers. He's got a lot to benefit from in this matchup, so I'll back a comeback night for him.

Christian Yelich To Record 2+ Total Bases (+120) / To Record An RBI (+150)

Since returning from the 10-day IL due to a lower back strain, Christian Yelich hasn't come close to missing a beat for the Milwaukee Brewers.

The former NL MVP has gone 7-for-11 at the plate across his last three games, continuing what has been a red-hot season for him.

He's recorded at least two bases in 10 out of 14 full games this season (71.4% of contests) while he has nabbed an RBI in 9 out of 14 games (64.3% of contests).

Now, these are extremely small samples to work with, but I'm surprised we can get these props at +120 (45.5% implied probability) and +150 (40.0% implied probability) in what should be an awesome matchup for Yelich.

Mitch Keller will be on the bump for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Keller has given up a long ball in five straight starts and has struggled to find success against lefties.

Since the start of last season, he has posted a 4.76 ERA and allowed a .456 SLG, 1.37 HR/9, 36.4% hard-hit rate, 37.9% fly-ball rate, and 14.4% HR/FB ratio versus left-handed hitters.

Yelich, meanwhile, comes in with a .318 BA, .581 SLG, .273 ISO, 176 wRC+, and 30.0% HR/FB ratio against righties, albeit through just 51 plate appearances.

Even still, he's rocking with a .499 SLG, .203 ISO, 142 wRC+, and a 43.7% hard-hit rate against righties since the start of last season.

Hitting third, he's in a great spot to bat in a run, especially because leadoff lefty Brice Turang is in for a solid matchup, too.

Brice Turang To Record A Run (-105)

Let's stay with the same game and matchup and look for Turang to cross home plate.

Turang has recorded at least one run in 16 out of 38 games this season, but a key change in Milwaukee's batting order has him primed to touch home tonight.

He owns a .301 BA and has worked his way into the top of the lineup across his last five games, replacing Sal Frelick, who was struggling with a .164 BA when leading things off.

Turang has recorded a run in three out of five games as a leadoff hitter, and like Yelich, has a great matchup in store.

We've touched on Keller's 4.76 ERA, .456 SLG, and 1.37 HR/9 allowed to lefties since the start of last season. In 2023, he also surrendered the 10th-highest wOBA, 8th-highest SLG, and 7th-highest HR/9 to lefties (among pitchers who recorded at least 80 IP in this split).

Turang's numbers against the opposite handedness are encouraging, too.

This season, he touts a .310 BA, .440 SLG, and 131 wRC+ against righties, all while striking out at just a 12.4% rate.

I like his chances to get on base while the likes of Yelich or William Contreras (.346 BA; third-best in MLB) can take care of business from there.

Turang To Hit A Home Run at +1080 could be an interesting dart throw. There's a reason his odds are this high, but the sophomore player has hit all eight of his career home runs against righties, and we've touched on just how much power Keller gives up to lefty bats.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.