MLB

3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays for Monday 5/13/24

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Randy Vasquez, P, Padres ($7,000)

Randy Vasquez has a delightful home matchup tonight against the Colorado Rockies, and that makes him an intriguing value play.

On the road this year, the Rockies rank 28th in wOBA (.278) with the third-highest strikeout rate (27.2%). A Petco Park date with this Rox offense is about as nice as matchups get.

Vasquez has only 49 2/3 MLB innings to his name, and he's pitched just 12 frames in the bigs this season so we're working with small samples. I think there's enough here to feel confident about him putting up a solid outing in this spot, and Colorado's 3.36 implied total -- the slate's third-lowest clip -- points to Vasquez having success.

Vasquez has posted single-game swinging-strike rates of 12.0% and 15.2% over his past two starts. He got up to 97 pitches in his 2024 debut, so workload isn't too much of a concern. Last time out in a tough matchup at the Chicago Cubs, Vasquez punched out six and held the Cubbies to one earned run over 4 1/3 innings.

He's the top point-per-dollar arm today, per our projections. If you're looking to load up on high-salary bats, Vasquez can help you out.

Jon Singleton, 1B, Astros ($2,600)

If Jon Singleton is in the lineup today for the Houston Astros, I really like him as a value play.

It's not a great night for offense as no team carries an implied total above 4.75 and just three teams are implied to score more than 4.50 runs. The top implied total of the slate belongs to the Astros for their home clash with Ross Stripling.

Stripling, a right-hander, has been pretty meh this year, pitching to a 4.50 SIERA and 15.3% K rate. Lefties have mauled him to the tune of a .377 wOBA, and that's where Singleton comes in.

Singleton gets most of his plate appearances against righties, and he's got big-time power.

Three of Singleton's four dingers have come versus righties, and he's got a 43.1% fly-ball rate in the split. He's a low-salary way to get a piece of Houston and has been slotted fifth in the lineup in each of his last five starts.

Whit Merrifield, 2B/OF, Phillies ($2,600)

The Philadelphia Phillies are scheduled to face lefty Sean Manaea today, and that could result in Whit Merrifield hitting atop the order.

Philly has squared off with a southpaw each of its past two games, and Merrifield has been the leadoff bat in both of those contests. Assuming he's in that slot again today, he's easy to like at this salary.

Manaea has been generating quality results this year, sporting a 3.31 ERA, but once you pop the hood, things don't look so hot. He's the owner of a 4.89 SIERA, 20.4% strikeout rate and 12.5% walk rate. He's also surrendering a career-worst 45.5% fly-ball rate but has been getting very lucky in the homer department thanks to a crazy-low 2.2% homer-to-fly-ball rate.

The Phillies' 3.83 implied total isn't very appealing, but I'm bullish on them today. However, even if you don't like the Phillies' outlook all that much, you can still plug in Merrifield -- who has a 45.1% fly-ball rate against lefties this season -- as a one-off play.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.