NCAAB

3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Thursday 2/29/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Thursday 2/29/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

Keisei Tominaga Over 14.5 Points (-110)

Nebraska's leading scorer Keisei Tominaga, who averages 14.0 points per game (PPG), has a favorable matchup against Ohio State. The Buckeyes rank 102nd in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency -- the fourth-worst mark in the Big Ten.

Tominaga is a sniper from deep, converting 37.0% of his three-point shots. Additionally, 56.4% of his shots come from three-point land. Of course, a weak perimeter defense should mean success for Tominaga.

Ohio State sits in the bottom 12% of opponent three-point percentage. The Scarlet and Gray's backcourt of Bruce Thornton (1.08) and Roddy Gayle (0.87) have underwhelming Defensive Bayesian Performance Ratings (DBPR), per EvanMiya. This also checks out elsewhere with Thornton carrying a 1.3 defensive box plus/minus (DBPM) and Gayle holding a 0.2 in the category.

OSU ranks in the bottom half of attempted field goals allowed per game, which should Tominaga plenty of shot opportunities. With efficiency from deep against a weak defensive backcourt, the Cornhuskers' star guard could thrive. Tominaga has reached at least 15 points in three of his last four games.

USC Trojans at No. 19 Washington State Cougars

Isaac Jones To Score 20+ Points (+270)

Washington State is fresh off a rough loss against Arizona State, who has the second-worst KenPom rating in the Pac-12 (119th). The Cougars have a great chance to bounce back against USC (fifth-worst KenPom rating in the Pac-12).

The Trojans are 98th in adjusted defensive efficiency while ranking in the bottom 26% with opponents totaling 74.8 PPG. There should clearly be an opportunity for points against this vulnerable defense. When looking at USC's DBPM, the frontcourt looks like a major flaw, with DJ Rodman (0.0) and Vincent Iwuchukwu (0.7) carrying concerning numbers. Joshua Morgan has been an exceptional defender with a 4.1 DBPM, but he plays only 46.6% of the minutes.

Still, I'm looking to dodge Morgan's lockdown defense when it comes to props. Morgan and Iwuchukwu typically man the center spots, and they will likely guard the Cougars' Oscar Cluff (7.9 PPG) and/or Rueben Chinyelu (5.0 PPG). Washington State's top scorer, Isaac Jones (15.8 PPG), typically looms in the frontcourt, but instead of drawing matchups against Morgan, Jones could be consistently defended by Rodman. In addition to his weak 0.0 DBPM, Rodman eats up most of USC's frontcourt minutes (61.9% of the minutes).

Jones leads the Cougars with 62.8% of his shots taking place at the rim, and Southern California is in the bottom 41% of two-point shots allowed per contest. Taking Jones to reach 20 points is certainly a risky play, but the +270 odds are a little bigger than I think they should be. Jones has reached 20 points in two of his last seven games.

Washington State's star forward is certainly capable of totaling 20 points, and with a favorable matchup against USC's defense, Jones could pull off the feat tonight.

No. 23 Gonzaga Bulldogs at San Francisco Dons

Jonathan Mogbo To Record 10+ Rebounds (+110)

The West Coast Conference's top rebounder could be poised for another double-digit rebound total against Gonzaga. San Francisco's Jonathan Mogbo leads the WCC in pretty much all of the important rebounding stats; he tops the conference with 10.1 rebounds per game (RPG) and carries a league-best 29.8% defensive rebounding percentage.

While Mogbo has reached 10 rebounds only once over his last five games, the opportunity to stack boards is present against the Bulldogs. Gonzaga ranks outside the top 90 in defensive rebounding percentage, and Mogbo has the fourth-best offensive rebounding percentage in the conference at 15.5%.

Additionally, the Zags have only one player among the top 12 in the conference in defensive rebounding percentage as Graham Ike carries a 21.3% clip. Ike has been under his season average of 7.3 RPG in five of his past six games.

In what is a tough test on the road for Gonzaga -- a game where they enter as 4.5-point favorites -- the Zags could struggle to slow WCC's top rebounder.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.