2 Best NFL Bets and Predictions for Chiefs at Giants on Sunday Night Football

Even within a single NFL game, betting markets are abundant.

You've got everything from spreads and totals to touchdown scorers and player props at your disposal. It can be a lot to sort through.

Using the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as a guide, here are the best bets for the Sunday night matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants.

All NFL projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds references are to FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Chiefs at Giants Betting Picks on Sunday Night Football

Giants Under 19.5 (-102)

Following a dreadful season-opener with six points and 3.7 yards per play, the New York Giants erupted in Week 2 by logging 37 points, 7.8 yards per play, and 9.6 yards per passing attempt. Wide receivers Malik Nabers (167 receiving yards) and Wan'Dale Robinson (142 receiving yards) dominated while we saw a vintage Russell Wilson throw for 422 passing yards.

Can we expect New York's offense to stay hot on Sunday Night Football? In short, I believe this unit will look closer to Week 1's performance.

According to PlayerProfiler, Wilson ranked 22nd in expected points added (EPA) in the 2024 season. Week 2's 0.35 EPA per drop back (EPA/db) does not feel sustainable (via NFL's Next Gen Stats). Wilson has consistently shown he's past his prime over the last handful of seasons. I'm not going to expect otherwise due to one splash performance.

Plus, Week 2's opponent -- the Dallas Cowboys -- simply have a dreadful secondary that allows the second-highest EPA/db and fifth-highest pass success rate. While the Chiefs' pass D has stumbled to ceding the sixth-highest pass success rate, they opened the season against two exceptional quarterbacks in Justin Herbert and Jalen Hurts. Kansas City should be able to take advantage of a weak New York offensive line, as well, boosting its 13th-highest pressure rate to this point.

The Giants' run game has totaled only 3.6 yards per carry (seventh-lowest) paired with Pro Football Focus' ninth-worst run block grade. Opponents are logging only 3.6 yards per rushing attempt against the Chiefs (seventh-fewest).

This Kansas City secondary should eventually wake up, and I expect that to begin on Sunday. Look for Wilson to return to Earth, leading to under 19.5 points for the G-Men.

Chiefs -5.5 (-120)

Overall, this should be a comfortable win for the Chiefs, too.

Despite posting 5.6 yards per play (11th-most), the offense is averaging only 19.0 points per game (9th-fewest). A thin receiving corps is certainly part of the issue, but Xavier Worthy (shoulder) could return with his questionable status. Worthy was a limited participant at practice this week and was seen not wearing a brace. Marquise Brown (ankle) is expected to suit up, as well.

If Patrick Mahomes gets one of his key targets back, we should finally see some point production. The Giants' secondary was just shredded for 343 passing yards last week. Its allowed the 6th-most EPA through the air, 8th-highest pass success rate, 7.2 yards passing attempt (11th-most), and 277.5 passing yards per game (4th-most). While Kansas City's offense hasn't produced at the usual clip, Mahomes still carries 0.06 EPA/db.

The run game has been a clear positive, averaging 5.1 yards per carry (sixth-most). New York is allowing the third-most EPA per rushing attempt and ninth-highest rush success rate while opponents post 5.9 yards per carry (second-most). This defense is vulnerable across the board -- surrendering 6.1 yards per play (fifth-most). The Chiefs could heavily lean on the run as they look to offset the Giants' pass rush that boasts PFF's seventh-highest pass rush grade.

After opening the season 0-2, the sky's been falling in Kansas City. Week 3 should allow Chiefs fans to take a deep breath and relax. Frankly, I don't expect Sunday night's game to be close. Kansas City to cover is my favorite game line for Sunday Night Football, and even alternate spreads -- including the Chiefs -9.5 (+154) -- has my attention.

Get a 50% Profit Boost Token for a wager on any NFL game taking place on September 21st! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which NFL bets stand out to you? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.