2 Best MLB Bets and Player Props for Padres at Diamondbacks on Friday 6/13/25

Even within a single MLB game, you've got countless betting markets to choose from.

Which ones stand out today as the San Diego Padres take on the Arizona Diamondbacks?

We're going to run through my favorites in FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds. You can also check out FanDuel Research's MLB player prop projections if you want a glimpse at projected strikeouts, home runs, and more.

Now, let's dig into the best bets for this game.

Betting Picks for Padres at Diamondbacks

Josh Naylor to Hit a Home Run (+800)

Josh Naylor has been superb versus righties this year, and he can take advantage of a matchup with Stephen Kolek.

Kolek has pitched 42 innings this season, and he's struggled to a 4.41 SIERA and 16.8% strikeout rate. Lefties have rocked him for a .355 wOBA and 1.53 dingers per nine innings over a small sample of 86 total batters faced.

Naylor is having a quality campaign. He's dropped his K rate to 12.6% and boasts a career-best .359 wOBA. He's been particularly lethal against RHP, producing a .392 wOBA in the split along with a 39.9% hard-hit rate. Seven of his eight homers have come with the platoon advantage. He goes up even another level when he's at home versus righties, generating a 43.5% hard-hit rate and .444 wOBA in the split.

Ryne Nelson Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-134)

The Padres are a brutal matchup for strikeouts, sitting with the third-lowest K rate against RHP (18.5%). Ryne Nelson's K prop certainly accounts for that -- but maybe not enough.

Splitting time between the bullpen and rotation, Nelson has been good this year, pitching to a 3.88 SIERA. But the strikeouts haven't been there when he starts. In four starts, he's got 11 punchouts in 19 innings. He's yet to top 84 pitches in a start.

Not a high-K guy in the first place, facing a low-strikeout team and on a shorter leash, Nelson should have a tough time getting to four strikeouts tonight.

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Which bets stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.