Russell Wilson's Insane Efficiency Could Point to Dominant 2019 Fantasy Football Season

SANTA CLARA, CA - DECEMBER 16: Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks looks to pass against the San Francisco 49ers during their NFL game at Levi's Stadium on December 16, 2018 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

If Russell Wilson was on your 2018 fantasy football team, you probably had mixed feeling about him.

He finished as the ninth-highest scoring player at the position, so his production was nothing to scoff at. The way the Seattle Seahawks played, though, reigned in his value in a way we really haven't seen before. The 2018 Seahawks were one of only two teams since 2015 to call more run plays than pass plays in a season. This was directly reflected in Wilson's numbers.

His volume was down, but almost everything else about his season looked great. He completed 65.6 percent of his passes (second most of his career), his 35 touchdowns were a career high, and his seven interceptions were a career low. This was one of only three times he's topped 8.0 yards per pass attempt, and he matched his career high in adjusted yards per attempt (which factors in touchdowns and interceptions).

Even though Seattle has the reputation as a run-heavy team, their 2018 season looked like an outlier. The last time a team ran on a higher percentage of snaps than Seattle did was in 2009. This suggests that Wilson could put up a higher number of pass attempts in 2019.

His efficiency may fall some with the increase in volume, but considering 2018 was his best season throwing the rock, we could still see that volume translate to a nice boost in production.

His current draft cost (QB8) seems to be a reflection on that run-heavy 2018 season, ignoring the fact that Seattle threw at a top-10 rate just one year prior. That creates an intriguing opportunity for fantasy football drafters.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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