3 Potential Fantasy Football Busts to Avoid in 2019 Drafts

Jason Schandl
Los Angeles Rams v Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles Rams v Oakland Raiders / Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

As important as it is to find sleepers that can return serious value in your 2019 fantasy football drafts, it's just as crucial that your early-round picks don't bomb.

The edges between top fantasy producers at each position is generally just a fantasy point or two per game. There's value in being right and securing these edges, but the much bigger gap between a top player and an early-round bust can have a larger impact on your standing at the end of the year.

With that in mind, here are three potential busts that should be on your "do not draft" list for 2019.

3. Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams

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Returning from a torn ACL isn't the red flag it once was, but there's still plenty of room to be concerned about Kupp. The Los Angeles Rams WR corps is crowded with Kupp, Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods all fighting for targets. The trio played eight games together in 2018, and Kupp was the only one to average fewer than seven targets per game. It will be nearly impossible for all three to pay off their FantasyPros.com average draft position (ADP), and Kupp (at WR21) could be the odd man out, even if the injury is behind him.

2. Christian Kirk, WR, Arizona Cardinals

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The Arizona Cardinals may have an exciting new head coach in Kliff Kingsbury and quarterback in Kyler Murray, but this is still a team that threw for an NFL-low 2,523 yards in 2018. We can certainly expect them to take a step forward through the air, but that doesn't mean Christian Kirk is a good buy at an ADP of WR35. The second-year WR will still likely be behind Larry Fitzgerald in the pecking order, and it takes a strong offense to support two WRs with price-tags this high. The signing of Michael Crabtree could also be a bad sign for Kirk's volume and fantasy outlook in 2019.

1. Marlon Mack, RB, Indianapolis Colts

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While it's not as bad as drafting Andrew Luck, Luck's retirement makes Marlon Mack a risky pick as well. Mack's 2018 fantasy production was tied closely to the Indianapolis Colts' success, averaging 20.3 rushes per game when the Colts won by at least seven points, compared to only 12.2 per game otherwise. He was out-snapped by Nyheim Hines in Indy's losses, and without Luck the Colts are now expected to do a lot more losing in 2019. Mack's ADP is falling, but RB20 (36th overall) is still far too pricey for a player with his 2019 outlook.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.