NCAAF

Will Oregon Win 11 Games in 2024?

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
Will Oregon Win 11 Games in 2024?

We normally have to wait until the summer to place bets on college football win totals. Not this year.

The college football win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook are already up, giving us a chance to whet our college football appetite right now.

The Oregon Ducks are one team drawing hype for the 2024 college football season. Most early rankings have the Ducks within the top-three-to-five teams in the nation. FanDuel's college football college football national championship odds have Oregon with the fourth-shortest odds to win it all (+850).

The 2024 season will be the Ducks' first year in the Big Ten, which features another national championship contender in Ohio State. Considering Oregon's lofty expectations for the upcoming season, FanDuel has the Ducks set with one of the highest win totals.

How many games will Oregon win in the regular season in 2024? Let's dive in.

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Oregon Football Win Total Odds

Oregon Football Over/Under 10.5 Wins

  • Over: +100
  • Under: -122

Oregon 2024 Football Schedule

Date
Opponent
Sat, Aug 24@ Hawai'i
Sat, Aug 31vs. Idaho
Sat, Sep 7vs. Boise State
Sat, Sep 14@ Oregon State
Sat. Sep 28@ UCLA
Sat, Oct 5vs. Michigan State
Sat, Oct 12vs. Ohio State
View Full Table

Why Oregon Could Win Over 10.5 Games (+100)

First off, we should not overlook how difficult reaching 11 games is -- especially in one of the nation's best conferences. A lot would have to go right for the Ducks to pull off this feat. Oregon has not reached 11 regular-season wins since playing in the national championship in the 2014 season.

The Ducks have national championship potential for the upcoming season, though. The mass of talent is Oregon's biggest talking point for going over 10.5 wins.

Coach Dan Lanning has immediately elevated the Ducks' recruiting as they had the third-best recruiting class for the 2024 cycle. Oregon also had one of the most successful runs in the transfer portal -- along with Ohio State and Ole Miss.

The Ducks landed 4 of 247 Sports' top-23 transfers. This includes the second-best receiver available in Evan Stewart, who is a former five-star recruit and totaled at least 500 receiving yards in first two seasons at Texas A&M. Oregon also reeled in 2 of the top 12 available QBs. Dillon Gabriel, who had over 14,000 career passing yards, seems in line to start and has the second-shortest odds to win the Heisman (+1000), per FanDuel's college football Heisman Trophy odds.

This roster clearly has the potential to make something special happen, especially with wide receiver Tez Johnson, tight end Terrance Ferguson, defensive end Jordan Burch, and linebacker Jeffrey Bassa all returning.

Oregon's schedule for the 2024 season isn't too challenging, either. A battle against Ohio State looks to be the most challenging contest. Michigan and Washington are also on the schedule, but both teams are likely poised for down years as they are replacing a ton of starters and their head coaches. Most importantly, the Ducks are home for their most difficult game of the year against the Buckeyes.

The over could be the best bet here with the enticing +100 odds. As mentioned, the Wolverines and Huskies are both expecting down years. Oregon's most challenging road game will likely be against Wisconsin, and the Badgers only have a win total of 6.5. The Ducks' non-conference schedule is also underwhelming with games against Hawaii, Idaho, Boise State, and Oregon State.

Why Oregon Could Win Under 10.5 Games (-122)

Now, let's look at why the Ducks could fail to reach 11 games. If Oregon happens to slip in their most challenging game against Ohio State, they will have no room for error going forward. Plus, the Ducks have a lengthy 13-game schedule that could wear on the roster.

Replacing quarterback Bo Nix, who was a Heisman finalist last season, should not be overlooked -- even with Oregon adding two talented transfer QBs. All-American and Rimington Trophy winner -- awarded to college football's top center -- Jackson Powers-Johnson departed for the NFL. Troy Franklin, who led the team with 1,383 receiving yards, is another key starter that is moving on. Bucky Irving led the Ducks' running backs with 1,180 rushing yards last season and will also need replaced.

Defensive tackle Brandon Dorlus, cornerback Kyree Jackson, safety Steve Stephens IV, and safety Evan Williams are some key defensive starters from the 2023 season that must be replaced.

The Ducks still have some areas to figure out as several departing starters could prove to be big losses. The run game will be one big area to keep an eye on with Powers-Johnson and Irving heading to the NFL. Will third-year running back Jordan James step into an elevated role and flourish?

With national championship potential, Oregon carries one of the most intriguing win totals for the 2024 season. I'm leaning toward the Ducks reaching 11 regular-season wins in their first season in the Big Ten -- especially with 13 opponents on the schedule.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.