Which NFL Team Will Have the Best Regular-Season Record in 2023?
The NFL always gives us an exciting season, and the upcoming campaign should be no different.
A lot has to go right for any team to be good. Whether that is young players making the next step, injury luck, having a good schedule, or making the big plays in the crucial moments -- it all matters. And when it comes to being the best of the best, almost everything needs to work out.
Last season in the NFL, we saw some of the most hyped-up teams like the Miami Dolphins suffer due to all of the above, and we saw other teams -- like the Philadelphia Eagles, one of the two squads tied for the best record (14-3) -- have nearly everything go right for them on the way to reaching the Super Bowl.
Who could post the best record in the 2023 regular season? Here are the 10 teams with the top odds to have the best regular-season record this coming year, per the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Let's take a look at five of the favorites.
Kansas City Chiefs
2022 Record: 14-3
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +500
The Kansas City Chiefs are the reigning Super Bowl Champions and tied Philly for the best regular-season record last year. It's only right that they head into the season as the favorite to get the best record once again.
Perhaps the closest thing to the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick connection that had the New England Patriots reigning over the NFL for two decades is the current Chiefs duo of Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. These two seemingly get better each and every year with Mahomes (somehow) improving more and more.
All Super Bowl champions experience offseason losses, and that was the case with KC, with none bigger than Orlando Brown Jr. moving on and signing with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Chiefs signed Jawaan Taylor to replace him. The Chiefs also watched JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman, and Juan Thornhill all move to different teams while releasing Frank Clark, as well.
The losses of Brown and Smith-Schuster could be huge for Kansas City seeing that they went out of their way to get Brown to protect Mahomes following the team's loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. Smith-Schuster wasn't a top receiver like Tyreek Hill was for the Chiefs, but he still was a crucial option when Mahomes needed him. Without JuJu, Kadarius Toney and/or Skyy Moore will need to step into a bigger role.
But at the end of the day, KC still has Mahomes, Reid, and maybe football's most dominant receiving option in Travis Kelce. They'll be creative on offense like they were a season ago and will surely be one of the NFL's best teams.
Going with the Chiefs is one of the safer bets in this market. They've won at least 12 games ievery year since Mahomes took over, and it's hard to see them slowing down in 2023.
Cincinnati Bengals
2022 Record: 12-4
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +750
The Bengals have climbed from a team that couldn't win a playoff game to a team that is a perennial Super Bowl contender with Joe Burrow at the helm.
Zac Taylor has coached the Bengals to an elite level since getting his quarterback of the future and pairing him up with the offensive weapons of Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and others. And the offense improved its only weak point by adding four-time Pro Bowler Orlando Brown Jr. to the roster. The biggest downfall for the Bengals during the Burrow era has been their inability to protect him. Brown should help fix that.
Where things are more up in the air for Cincy is on D. They suffered tough losses with the exits of Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates III -- their two starting safeties.
Nick Scott was brought over from the Los Angeles Rams to fill one of those gaps, and Dax Hill, a 2022 first-rounder, will get a shot to show what he's about when he steps into the other starting safety gig. But if the back end of the defense is an issue, it could put even more pressure on Burrow and the offense to carry the load.
Overall, the Bengals come into 2023 looking like an elite side, and if they click early -- unlike last season -- then the best record could be in reach.
Philadelphia Eagles
2022 Record: 14-3
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +800
Why not the Eagles?
It all came together for Philly last year to get them not only the best regular-season record but a trip to the Super Bowl. Much of that came on the back of the incredible improvement of Jalen Hurts, who went from question mark to MVP candidate within a single season. Hurts finished with 3,701 passing yards and 22 touchdowns through the air, and he added another 13 scores on the ground.
It's worth noting that two of the Eagles' three losses came with Gardner Minshew starting, so a fully healthy season for Hurts could allow the Eagles to have an even better record.
Miles Sanders, the team's leading rusher from 2022, moved on and joined the Carolina Panthers, so the Eagles went out and replaced him with Rashaad Penny and D'Andre Swift to make a dynamic two-headed monster in the backfield. The receiving corps remains one of the best with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith leading the way for them.
A game-changing offense is one thing, but an excellent defense is what brings the Eagles from great to elite.
Pro Football Focus (PFF) has the Eagles' defensive line ranked as the top unit in football even though they lost Javon Hargrave to the San Francisco 49ers. That's because not only is Fletcher Cox back, but the Eagles were able to select Jalen Carter out of Georgia. The Eagles were able to retain both Darius Slay and James Bradberry, setting them up to have a top-notch pass defense once again.
Given how good the Eagles were last season, especially when Hurts was healthy, +800 looks like an enticing number.
Buffalo Bills
2022 Record: 13-3
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +950
The way the Buffalo Bills' 2022 season ended -- scoring only 10 points at home in a playoff loss to the Bengals -- spoiled what had been an outstanding year.
There's a chance the Bills could have had the same record as the Chiefs and Eagles last season, but due to the cancellation of their game with the Bengals in the regular season, we won't ever know. What we do know is that the Bills went 13-3, are loaded with talent coming into 2023 and have Josh Allen leading the way.
While Allen brings a ton of positives to the table, there's also room for improvement.
His major problem is mistakes. While he totaled 4,283 passing yards, 35 passing touchdowns, and 7 rushing touchdowns, his mistakes included 14 interceptions and 13 fumbles. There still are ways for Allen to get better. He obviously has the talent, and the Bills tried to help out Allen this offseason, shoring up their O-Line while also giving him more intriguing options to utilize offensively.
Moving on from Rodger Saffold and Greg Van Roten up front and replacing them with David Edwards and Connor McGovern should keep Allen upright, which is just as important as anything else.
They also replaced their receiving options of Isaiah McKenzie and Jamison Crowder with rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid could be thrust into a big role early and may eventually give Buffalo the dynamic number-two pass-game piece they've lacked. They also changed up the rushing game with Devin Singletary moving on and Damien Harris now pairing with second-year back James Cook.
The defense will have a returning Von Miller to look forward to but also added Leonard Floyd to boost their pass rush as he's coming off a season with 9.0 sacks with the Rams. The biggest loss for the D, however, is linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, who signed with the Chicago Bears in the offseason. It'll be difficult to make up for a guy who had more than 100 tackles, but the Bills should still have one of the league's better defenses.
If Allen can cut down on his mistakes while still maintaining his big-play ability, Buffalo will be scary. Seeing how Buffalo was 13-3 even with Allen's mistakes, the best record is fully in reach for the Bills, although they'll have to navigate a difficult AFC East -- which is a big reason why they have the fourth-toughest schedule by 2023 win totals.
San Francisco 49ers
2022 Record: 13-4
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +1000
There may be no team with more talent on their roster than the San Francisco 49ers, but there are some question marks with the team because of the quarterback position.
I mean, we don't even know who is going to be under center in Week 1.
The story of last season was "Mr. Irrelevant" Brock Purdy coming in after injuries to Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo left the 49ers with no choice. Purdy not only stepped in but looked like he had everything needed to bring San Francisco to the Super Bowl before tearing the UCL in his elbow in the first quarter of the NFC Championship -- an injury that may keep him out for part of 2023.
Lance was the third overall selection in the 2021 NFL Draft and was given the keys to the kingdom last year before breaking his ankle in Week 2. He's a huge wild card who has still barely played in the NFL despite this being his third year. Also, Sam Darnold is in the mix for the 49ers.
Elsewhere on offense, the Niners are incredibly talented -- headlined by Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Deebo Samuel. The addition of McCaffrey made San Fran all the more dangerous under Kyle Shanahan and pushed them to the next level -- no matter who was playing quarterback.
Oh, and the defense is one of the league's top units, too. Nick Bosa is coming off an AP Defensive Player of the Year season where he recorded 18.5 sacks and forced 2 fumbles. Alongside Bosa is Arik Armstead and Javon Kinlaw, and their big signing of the offseason is Javon Hargrave. The 49ers were an elite defense in 2022, giving up the sixth-fewest yards per play (5.0), and there's little reason to believe they'll be anything but good on D in 2023.
A boost for San Fran is that the NFC West is down and -- at least on paper -- is an easier division than what the four other teams we've talked about have to contend with. As such, the Niners have the fourth-easiest schedule going by 2023 win totals. The Rams are not the team they were two seasons ago, the Arizona Cardinals are the betting favorite for the worst regular season record (+340), and the Seattle Seahawks are just a borderline playoff team.
No matter who the quarterback is Week 1 and beyond, the 49ers are going to be a force this season. If they get even above-average quarterback play, they'll be a Super Bowl threat, and if their quarterback play is better than that, look out.
The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.