Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 28

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Info

• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage:

The Golden State Warriors are 4-point favorites for Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Chase Center on Monday, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Houston Rockets. The Warriors hold a 2-1 series lead. The over/under for the matchup is set at 203.

Warriors vs. Rockets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Rockets are 43-38-1 this season.
• Warriors games have gone over the total 41 times this season.
• The Rockets have gone over the point total 54.9% of the time this year (45 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Golden State has played worse when playing at home, covering 18 times in 41 home games, and 23 times in 41 road games.
• The Warriors have gone over the total in 20 of 41 home games (48.8%). They've done better on the road, going over the total in 21 of 41 matchups (51.2%).
• Houston's winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-1). On the road, it is .537 (22-19-0).
• Rockets games have finished above the over/under 48.8% of the time at home (20 of 41), and 61% of the time away (25 of 41).

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry is averaging 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 32.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 44.5% from the field and 37.2% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• Buddy Hield averages 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists, shooting 41.7% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 made treys per game.

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points for the Rockets, plus 10.3 boards and 4.9 assists.
• The Rockets are receiving 21 points, 4.6 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Jalen Green.
• Per game, Amen Thompson gets the Rockets 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists, plus 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks.
• The Rockets get 14.1 points per game from Fred VanVleet, plus 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists.
• The Rockets are getting 14 points, 3.7 boards and 1.7 assists per game from Dillon Brooks.

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