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Warriors vs. Lakers Game 6 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Player Props

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After avoiding elimination with a 15-point win at home in Game 5, the Golden State Warriors are down 3-2 to the Los Angeles Lakers heading into Game 6 at Crypto.com Arena on Friday night.

Andrew Wiggins is reportedly dealing with a fracture to the rib cartilage on his left side and is listed as questionable. Anthony Davis and LeBron James are both listed as probable.

Game 6 tips off at 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Here's how the Warriors and Lakers stack up heading into Game 6 in Los Angeles.

All NBA odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Lakers Game 6 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

  • Moneyline:
    • Warriors: +128
    • Lakers: -152
  • Spread: Lakers -3.0 (-110)
  • Total: 219.5

Warriors vs. Lakers Game 6 Projections

Win projections via numberFire.

  • Win Odds: 53.9% Lakers

Warriors vs. Lakers Game 6 Player Props: Total Points, and Double Double Odds

Warriors vs. Lakers Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, pace, and shot distribution via DunksAndThrees.

  • Lakers:
    • nERD: 53.2 (13th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 114.4 (20th)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.9 (13th)
    • Pace: 101.3 (6th)
    • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
      • Rim: 38.9% (4th) - 64.4% (10th)
      • Mid: 26.1% (16th) - 42.3% (22nd)
      • 3PT: 35.1% (26th) - 34.6% (25th)
  • Warriors:
    • nERD: 51.6 (16th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 115.6 (9th)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.9 (15th)
    • Pace: 102.1 (1st)
    • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
      • Rim: 30.7% (26th) - 67.1% (2nd)
      • Mid: 21.4% (4th) - 41.2% (25th)
      • 3PT: 47.9% (3rd) - 38.5% (2nd)

Warriors vs. Lakers Game 6 Analysis

Back at home in Game 5, Golden State rebounded from back-to-back losses in Los Angeles with a 15-point victory. In the win, they shot 51.1% from the field and 37.1% from behind the arc. All five starters for the Warriors reached double-digit points, and their 121 total points was their highest since Game 2. When Golden State scores at least 113 points, they are undefeated in this series.

The Warriors' starting unit was dominant in Game 5, and their plus/minus shows it. Stephen Curry (+12) had the worst plus/minus of the starting five, and it was still better than every player on the Lakers except Dennis Schroder, who was +14 off the bench. Gary Payton II (+25) was particularly impactful in his 27 minutes played.

At home in the second round, Golden State's starters have a combined plus/minus of +11.8, second to only the Denver Nuggets. Their bench (+0.5) hasn't given them much at home, but the efficiency of their first five has led them to multiple victories.

The issue for the Warriors, of course, is that they are on the road in Game 6, facing a Lakers team that has been elite at home this postseason.

Los Angeles is one of three squads -- alongside Denver and the Miami Heat -- that is undefeated at home during these playoffs. The Lakers' 116.8 points per home game ranks fourth among all teams this postseason, and their plus/minus of +17.8 ranks first. They are holding their opponents to 99.0 points per game at Crypto.com Arena and are generating a league-leading 16.0 turnovers. At home, the Lakers have held their opponents to 38.6% shooting from the field and 28.9% shooting from behind the arc, the best in the league in both categories.

The Lakers' starters have a plus/minus of +10 in home games this postseason, second-best behind the Nuggets (+11.0). Their bench has also stepped up, posting a plus/minus of +7.8, second to only the Heat.

Life is good in Los Angeles for the Lakers.

The Warriors will take some positives from their three-point loss in Game 4, which was the Lakers' smallest margin of victory in their five home games this postseason. Tonight is an elimination game for Golden State, but the drastic home/road splits for the Warriors and the Lakers make this a precarious position for Los Angeles, as well. If LA fails to close out the series tonight, the outlook will be much different heading back to San Francisco for Game 7.

As it stands, the Lakers are favorites to win the series (-240) and have the third-best odds to win the NBA Finals (+500).


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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