Virginia vs Wright State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 3 seed Virginia Cavaliers (29-5) and the No. 14 seed Wright State Raiders (23-11) will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at 1:50 p.m. ET. The contest airs on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Wright State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Game time: 1:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Virginia vs. Wright State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (82.2%)

Before you wager on Friday's Virginia-Wright State spread (Virginia -17.5) or over/under (146.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Virginia vs. Wright State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia has compiled an 18-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Wright State has won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 games when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 games on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Raiders have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 7-7-0 record) than away (.714, 10-4-0).

Virginia vs. Wright State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has come away with 24 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cavaliers have yet to lose in five games when named as moneyline favorite of -4000 or better.
• Wright State has been the moneyline underdog nine total times this season. Wright State has gone 3-6 in those games.
• The Raiders have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +1400 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Virginia has a 97.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Virginia vs. Wright State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Virginia averages 80.6 points per game (72nd in college basketball) while allowing 68.4 per contest (42nd in college basketball). It has a +416 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 12.2 points per game.
• Thijs De Ridder's 15.5 points per game lead Virginia and rank 266th in the nation.
• Wright State outscores opponents by 7.3 points per game (posting 80.7 points per game, 71st in college basketball, and allowing 73.4 per outing, 165th in college basketball) and has a +248 scoring differential.
• Michael Cooper's team-leading 13.4 points per game rank him 502nd in college basketball.
• The Cavaliers average 36.6 rebounds per game (19th in college basketball) while conceding 28.7 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.9 boards per game.
• De Ridder leads the Cavaliers with 6.2 rebounds per game (259th in college basketball play).
• The Raiders are 198th in the nation at 31.7 rebounds per game. That's 3.9 more than the 27.8 their opponents average.
• Michael Imariagbe averages seven rebounds per game (159th in college basketball) to lead the Raiders.
• Virginia ranks 50th in college basketball with 103.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 37th in college basketball defensively with 87.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Raiders rank 47th in college basketball with 103.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 155th defensively with 94.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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