UT Arlington vs Southern Utah College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed UT Arlington Mavericks (17-13, 9-9 WAC) will face off against the No. 5 seed Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-21, 6-12 WAC) in the WAC tournament Thursday at Orleans Arena, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• Arena: Orleans Arena

UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UT Arlington win (70%)

Before you wager on Thursday's UT Arlington-Southern Utah spread (UT Arlington -5.5) or total (141.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UT Arlington has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Southern Utah is 16-11-0 ATS this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Southern Utah is 11-9 against the spread compared to the 3-1 ATS record UT Arlington racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Mavericks have a better record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (8-8-0).
• The Thunderbirds' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (5-4-0). On the road, it is .588 (10-7-0).
• UT Arlington's record against the spread in conference action is 9-9-0.
• Southern Utah is 11-6-0 against the spread in WAC action this season.

UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UT Arlington has been the moneyline favorite in 11 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those contests.
• This year, the Mavericks have won three of four games when listed as at least -240 or better on the moneyline.
• Southern Utah is 7-19 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26.9% of those games).
• The Thunderbirds are 3-16 (winning just 15.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer.
• UT Arlington has an implied victory probability of 70.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah Head-to-Head Comparison

• UT Arlington's +102 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.2 points per game (304th in college basketball) while allowing 66.8 per contest (28th in college basketball).
• Marcell McCreary's team-leading 12.6 points per game ranks 607th in the country.
• Southern Utah has a -96 scoring differential, falling short by 3.1 points per game. It is putting up 76.7 points per game, 154th in college basketball, and is allowing 79.8 per contest to rank 327th in college basketball.
• Elijah Duval's team-leading 15.3 points per game rank him 277th in the country.
• The Mavericks record 33.9 rebounds per game (80th in college basketball) while conceding 28.1 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 5.8 boards per game.
• Raysean Seamster averages 6.4 rebounds per game (ranking 232nd in college basketball) to lead the Mavericks.
• The 32.0 rebounds per game the Thunderbirds accumulate rank 182nd in the country. Their opponents grab 32.4.
• Jaiden Feroah's 6.7 rebounds per game lead the Thunderbirds and rank 198th in the country.
• UT Arlington scores 91.2 points per 100 possessions (318th in college basketball), while allowing 86.8 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball).
• The Thunderbirds' 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 249th in college basketball, and the 98.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 264th in college basketball.

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