USA vs Bosnia: Prediction, Picks, Lineups & Best Bets

Updated for kickoff · Dedić injury news · Latest FanDuel odds

📖 Match Preview

Mauricio Pochettino's USA return to full strength tonight after rotating heavily for a dead-rubber loss to Türkiye. The co-hosts won Group D comfortably — 4-1 over Paraguay, 2-0 over Australia — scoring in the opening 15 minutes of both wins behind a high, aggressive press. A win tonight would be just the program's second-ever World Cup knockout victory, following the famous 2-0 upset of Mexico in 2002.

Bosnia and Herzegovina are here for the first time in a World Cup knockout round, and their route was unconvincing — a draw with Canada, a 4-1 loss to Switzerland (worsened by a red card to Tarik Muharemović, who returns from suspension tonight), and a 3-1 win over Qatar that scraped them through as one of the tournament's best third-placed sides. One striking data point: Bosnia have never kept a clean sheet across six all-time World Cup matches — a mark no other side has managed to avoid over that many appearances.

Opta's model gives the USA a 67.5% win probability and a 76.6% chance to advance by any method, with a draw the second-most-simulated outcome at 18.3% and a Bosnia win at 14.3%. Historically, this is genuinely uncharted territory for the co-hosts: the USA have won just one of their last 21 World Cup meetings with European sides, and are winless in the last 13 stretching back to 2002.

🩺 Team News & Injuries

📋 Predicted Lineups

📊 Key Stats & Head-to-Head

⭐ Best Bets — FanDuel

All odds FanDuel Sportsbook, updated today · To Qualify (reg+ET+pens): USA -650 / Bosnia +440 · Anytime Goalscorer incl. ET: Pulisic -105, Pepi +100, Balogun +100, Reyna +150, Tillman +200, Weah +250, Dest +300, McKennie +310, Berhalter +310, Dzeko +330, Demirovic +440, Lukic +470, Richards +600, Mahmic +650, Adams +650, Alajbegovic +650, Scally +800, Freeman +800, Bajraktarevic +850, A.Robinson +850, Memic +900, Basic +1200, Ream +1200, Tahirovic +1200, Sunjic +1600, Katic +1900, Muharemovic +2000, Kolasinac +3000 · First Goalscorer incl. ET: Balogun +370, Pulisic +370, Pepi +380, Reyna +550, Tillman +700, Weah +900, No Goalscorer +5000 (full board available on FD) · To Score 2+ incl. ET: Balogun +600, Pepi +600, Pulisic +600, Reyna +1100, Tillman +1600, Weah +2200 · Hat-Trick incl. ET: Pulisic +3000, Pepi +3000, Balogun +3300 · Anytime Assist incl. ET: Berhalter +170, McKennie +190, Pulisic +200, Tillman +220, Dest +230 · To Score or Assist incl. ET: Pulisic -185, Balogun -175, Pepi -170, Reyna -130, Tillman -115, Berhalter -105 · Method of Victory: Either Team in ET +650, Either Team on Pens +1100, USA in ET +800, Bosnia in ET +3000, USA on Pens +1800, Bosnia on Pens +2500 · Player 1+ SOT incl. ET: Balogun -450, Pepi -425, Pulisic -250, Reyna -220, Tillman -195, Weah -160 · Player 2+ SOT incl. ET: Balogun +105, Pepi +110, Pulisic +195, Reyna +240, Tillman +260, Weah +330 · Adams, Balogun, Richards return from rotation · Pulisic available, may not play full 90 · Roldan doubtful (muscle injury) · Amar Dedic likely out (thigh), Arjan Malic to start at RB · Muharemovic returns from suspension · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara CA · Tonight, Wednesday July 1, kickoff 8:00 PM ET · FOX/Telemundo · Must be 21+ · Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER