UCSD vs CSU Northridge College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 5 seed UCSD Tritons (23-10, 12-8 Big West) will play the No. 4 seed CSU Northridge Matadors (19-13, 12-8 Big West) in the Big West tournament Thursday at Lee's Family Forum, starting at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCSD vs. CSU Northridge Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

UCSD vs. CSU Northridge Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCSD win (63.8%)

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Thursday's UCSD-CSU Northridge spread (UCSD -1.5) or total (153.5 points).

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UCSD vs. CSU Northridge: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCSD has compiled a 16-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• CSU Northridge has put together a 14-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, CSU Northridge is 8-8 against the spread compared to the 11-14 ATS record UCSD racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Tritons own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-8-0) than they do in away games (7-6-0).
• This season, the Matadors are 9-3-0 at home against the spread (.692 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-10-0 ATS (.333).
• UCSD's record against the spread in conference play is 8-13-0.
• CSU Northridge has eight wins against the spread in 20 Big West games this season.

UCSD vs. CSU Northridge: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCSD has been victorious in 17, or 68%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Tritons have come away with a win 16 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -114 or shorter on the moneyline.
• CSU Northridge has won 43.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (7-9).
• The Matadors are 6-9 (winning 40% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCSD has a 53.3% chance of walking away with the win.

UCSD vs. CSU Northridge Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCSD averages 75.8 points per game (177th in college basketball) while allowing 70.0 per outing (69th in college basketball). It has a +193 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 5.8 points per game.
• Leo Beath's team-leading 12.2 points per game ranks 678th in the nation.
• CSU Northridge puts up 81.5 points per game (58th in college basketball) while giving up 79.7 per outing (324th in college basketball). It has a +59 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 1.8 points per game.
• Larry Hughes Jr.'s 17.6 points per game paces CSU Northridge and ranks 119th in the nation.
• The Tritons come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game (93rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.3 per outing.
• Hudson Mayes' 5.7 rebounds per game lead the Tritons and rank 363rd in college basketball action.
• The 37.2 rebounds per game the Matadors accumulate rank ninth in the country, 5.4 more than the 31.8 their opponents record.
• Josh O'Garro is 21st in college basketball with 9.4 rebounds per game, leading the Matadors.
• UCSD averages 97.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (185th in college basketball), and allows 90.1 points per 100 possessions (55th in college basketball).
• The Matadors' 95.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 236th in college basketball, and the 93.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 121st in college basketball.

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