Timberwolves vs. Warriors Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 6

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 6.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Tuesday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The matchup has an over/under set at 210.5 points.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (62.1%)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves are 39-42-1 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 41-38-3 this season.
• Games involving the Timberwolves have hit the over 45 times this season.
• The Warriors have gone over the point total 50% of the time this season (41 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Minnesota has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 17 times in 41 games when playing at home, and it has covered 22 times in 41 games on the road.
• The Timberwolves have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (61%) than games on the road (48.8%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Golden State has a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-22-1 record) than away (.561, 23-16-2).
• Warriors games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (20 times out of 41) than on the road (21 of 41) this year.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points, 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Julius Randle averages 18.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.7 assists.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 10.9 boards and 1.8 assists, shooting 66.9% from the floor (third in NBA).
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists, shooting 46.2% from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 made treys per contest.
• Jaden McDaniels' numbers on the season are 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 33% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made treys.

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry's numbers on the season are 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 6 assists per game. He is also sinking 44.8% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 4.4 triples (first in league).
• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points, 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists. He is also draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• The Warriors receive 9 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Brandin Podziemski.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists per game from Buddy Hield.

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