Thunder vs. Spurs Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 18

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs take the court to start the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which airs on NBC/Peacock at 8:30 p.m. ET. The point total is set at 221.5 for the matchup.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (64.8%)

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a matchup 39 times this season (39-42-1).
• The Spurs have played 82 games, with 43 wins against the spread.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 45 times.
• The Spurs have gone over the point total 43.9% of the time this year (36 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has played worse when playing at home, covering 19 times in 42 home games, and 20 times in 40 road games.
• When it comes to point totals, the Thunder hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've eclipsed the total 22 times in 42 opportunities this season (52.4%). On the road, they have hit the over 23 times in 40 opportunities (57.5%).
• Against the spread, San Antonio has had better results away (24-17-1) than at home (19-17-3).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Spurs' games have finished above the over/under at home (45%, 18 of 40) compared to on the road (42.9%, 18 of 42).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 31.1 points, 4.3 boards and 6.6 assists per contest, shooting 55.3% from the field and 38.6% from downtown, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 13.6 points, 3.3 boards and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 48.5% from the floor and 34.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 made treys.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists per contest, shooting 62.2% from the floor.

Spurs Leaders

• Per game, Victor Wembanyama gives the Spurs 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 3.1 blocks (first in NBA).
• The Spurs are receiving 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists per game from De'Aaron Fox.
• The Spurs are getting 16.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game from Stephon Castle.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is draining 51.9% of his shots from the floor and 36.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.2 treys.
• Julian Champagnie's numbers on the season are 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is making 43.7% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.4 triples.

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