Texas State vs Old Dominion Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 7 seed Texas State Bobcats (16-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) square off in the Sun Belt tournament against the No. 10 seed Old Dominion Monarchs (13-19, 8-10 Sun Belt) on Thursday at Pensacola Bay Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas State win (73%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Texas State (-7.5) versus Old Dominion on Thursday. The over/under is set at 140.5 points for this game.

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Texas State vs. Old Dominion: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas State has compiled a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Old Dominion is 15-15-0 ATS this season.
• Texas State (5-2) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (71.4%) than Old Dominion (5-6) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (45.5%).
• The Bobcats own a better record against the spread in home games (6-6-0) than they do in away games (6-8-0).
• The Monarchs' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. They are 7-7-0 ATS on their home court and 6-6-0 on the road.
• Texas State's record against the spread in conference play is 8-10-0.
• Old Dominion has covered the spread 11 times in 19 Sun Belt games.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas State has been victorious in 10, or 71.4%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Bobcats have come away with a win six times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -319 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Old Dominion has won 27.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (6-16).
• The Monarchs are 3-8 (winning only 27.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +250 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas State has a 76.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas State is outscoring opponents by 3.1 points per game with a +96 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.7 points per game (101st in college basketball) and allows 73.6 per outing (230th in college basketball).
• Tylan Pope ranks 148th in college basketball with a team-high 16.5 points per game.
• Old Dominion's -118 scoring differential (being outscored by 3.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.5 points per game (312th in college basketball) while allowing 72.2 per contest (190th in college basketball).
• Robert Davis Jr.'s 15.5 points per game paces Old Dominion and ranks 225th in college basketball.
• The Bobcats win the rebound battle by 3.7 boards on average. They collect 33.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 98th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 29.6 per outing.
• Josh O'Garro is 181st in college basketball play with 6.9 rebounds per game to lead the Bobcats.
• The Monarchs grab 34.3 rebounds per game (62nd in college basketball) while allowing 32.6 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.7 boards per game.
• Sean Durugordon is 40th in the country with 8.7 rebounds per game, leading the Monarchs.
• Texas State's 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 112th in college basketball, and the 94.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 211th in college basketball.
• The Monarchs rank 330th in college basketball with 88.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 177th defensively with 93.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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