Rockets vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 21

Rockets vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: FDSSUN and SCHN

The Miami Heat (38-32) will look to end a three-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Houston Rockets (42-27) on Saturday, March 21, 2026 at Toyota Center as just 3-point underdogs. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and SCHN. The over/under in the matchup is set at 228.5.

Rockets vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (54.5%)

Rockets vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Rockets are 29-40-0 against the spread this season.
• The Heat have 41 wins against the spread in 70 games this season.
• This season, 29 of the Rockets' games have gone over the point total out of 70 chances.
• Heat games this year have gone over the total in 39 of 70 opportunities (55.7%).
• Houston has done a better job covering the spread in road games (17-18-0) than it has at home (12-22-0).
• The Rockets have gone over the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in 11 of 34 home matchups (32.4%). In road games, they have hit the over in 18 of 35 games (51.4%).
• Against the spread, Miami has had better results on the road (20-13-1) than at home (21-15-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Heat games have gone over less frequently at home (20 of 36, 55.6%) than on the road (19 of 34, 55.9%).

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 25.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists, shooting 51.7% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 made treys per contest.
• Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points, 8.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 1 block.
• Amen Thompson averages 17.9 points, 7.8 boards and 5.3 assists.
• Jabari Smith Jr. averages 15.6 points, 6.8 boards and 1.8 assists, shooting 45.6% from the field and 36.4% from downtown, with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Reed Sheppard is averaging 13.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 20.2 points for the Heat, plus 9.7 boards and 2.9 assists.
• The Heat are getting 11.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel'el Ware.
• The Heat are getting 22.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Norman Powell.
• Davion Mitchell's numbers on the season are 9.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest. He is draining 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 41% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 triples.
• Per game, Pelle Larsson gets the Heat 10.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists, plus 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.