Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 20

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.

The Monday schedule in MLB includes a matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this matchup.

Red Sox vs Orioles Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (50-48) vs. Baltimore Orioles (49-51)
• Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and MASN

Red Sox vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-158) | BAL: (+134)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+132) | BAL: +1.5 (-160)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-124) | Under: (+102)

Red Sox vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 5-6, 3.11 ERA vs Shane Baz (Orioles) - 4-9, 4.19 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Payton Tolle (5-6) versus the Orioles and Shane Baz (4-9). Tolle's team is 4-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Tolle's team is 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Orioles have gone 7-11-0 against the spread when Baz starts. The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Baz's starts this season, and they went 2-7 in those matchups.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Orioles win (50.4%)

Red Sox vs Orioles Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Orioles-Red Sox, Baltimore is the underdog at +134, and Boston is -158 playing at home.

Red Sox vs Orioles Spread

• The Red Sox are favored by 1.5 runs at home versus the Orioles. The Red Sox are +132 to cover the spread, while the Orioles are -160.

Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under

• Red Sox versus Orioles on July 20 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -124 and the under set at +102.

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Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 30 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This year Boston has won five of nine games when listed as at least -158 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 96 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox are 46-50-0 against the spread in their 96 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Orioles have won 22 of the 46 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (47.8%).
• Baltimore has a 3-5 record (winning only 37.5% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer.
• The Orioles have played in 99 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-43-3).
• The Orioles have covered 50.5% of their games this season, going 50-49-0 ATS.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Willson Contreras has 91 hits and an OBP of .380, both of which are tops among Boston hitters this season. He has a .283 batting average and a slugging percentage of .551.
• Among qualifying hitters in MLB, he is 24th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .264 with 20 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks, while slugging .458 with an on-base percentage of .337.
• He is 54th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging in MLB.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit eight homers with a team-high .435 SLG this season.
• Rafaela takes a seven-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .273 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.
• Caleb Durbin has been key for Boston with 71 hits, an OBP of .299 plus a slugging percentage of .392.

Orioles Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso has racked up 91 hits, a team-best for the Orioles. He's batting .246 and slugging .462 with an on-base percentage of .346.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, his batting average is 89th, his on-base percentage is 52nd, and he is 49th in slugging.
• Taylor Ward paces his team with a .389 OBP, and has a club-leading .361 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .251.
• Including all qualifying players, he is 82nd in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage and 125th in slugging percentage.
• Gunnar Henderson has 16 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .220.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks.

Red Sox vs Orioles Head to Head

• 6/4/2026: 8-2 BAL (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/3/2026: 8-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 6/2/2026: 4-2 BAL (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 4/26/2026: 5-3 BOS (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 4/25/2026: 17-1 BOS (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 4/24/2026: 10-3 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 8/28/2025: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 8/27/2025: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 8/26/2025: 5-0 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 8/25/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)

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