Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 16

Odds updated as of 8:12 p.m.

MLB action on Sunday includes the Tampa Bay Rays facing the Baltimore Orioles.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Rays vs Orioles Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) vs. Baltimore Orioles (59-63)
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: NBCSN and Peacock

Rays vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-144) | BAL: (+122)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+162) | BAL: +1.5 (-196)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Rays vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (Rays) - 5-9, 5.33 ERA vs Trevor Rogers (Orioles) - 7-8, 4.21 ERA

The Rays will look to Freddy Peralta (5-9) against the Orioles and Trevor Rogers (7-8). Peralta's team is 12-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Peralta's team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-6). The Orioles are 10-12-0 against the spread when Rogers starts. The Orioles are 3-4 in Rogers' seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (57.6%)

Rays vs Orioles Moneyline

• The Rays vs Orioles moneyline has Tampa Bay as a -144 favorite, while Baltimore is a +122 underdog on the road.

Rays vs Orioles Spread

• The Orioles are +1.5 on the spread (-196 to cover), and Tampa Bay is +162 to cover the runline.

Rays vs Orioles Over/Under

• Rays versus Orioles, on Aug. 16, has an over/under of 7.5, with the over being -115 and the under -105.

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Rays vs Orioles Betting Trends

• The Rays have won in 51, or 65.4%, of the 78 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 19-8 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -144 or more on the moneyline.
• The Rays and their opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 119 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 70-49-0 against the spread.
• The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline 60 total times this season. They've gone 28-32 in those games.
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +122 or longer, Baltimore has a record of 7-13 (35%).
• The Orioles have played in 121 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 63 times (63-54-4).
• The Orioles have gone 63-58-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in total hits (127) this season while batting .276 with 54 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .368 and a slugging percentage of .548.
• Among qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 33rd, his on-base percentage ranks 22nd, and he is second in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .832, fueled by an OBP of .369 and a team-best slugging percentage of .463 this season. He's batting .301.
• His batting average is eighth among qualified players, his on-base percentage 21st, and his slugging percentage 38th.
• Diaz takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .458 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs.
• Liam Hicks leads Tampa Bay in OBP (.371) this season, fueled by 109 hits.
• Hicks has logged a hit or more in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
• Jonathan Aranda leads Tampa Bay with an OBP of .371 this season while batting .284 with 58 walks and 58 runs scored.
• Aranda takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with three walks and three RBIs.

Orioles Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high OBP (.353) and slugging percentage (.479), and paces the Orioles in hits (119, while batting .260).
• Including all the qualified players in MLB, his batting average puts him 63rd, his on-base percentage is 40th, and he is 31st in slugging.
• Alonso enters this matchup on a six-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with a double, three home runs, five walks and eight RBIs.
• Gunnar Henderson is batting .221 with 21 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 49 walks. He's slugging .403 with an on-base percentage of .302.
• His batting average is 128th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 117th, and he is 98th in slugging.
• Leody Taveras is batting .222 with 12 doubles, six triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.
• Coby Mayo has 11 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 22 walks while batting .211.

Rays vs Orioles Head to Head

• 8/14/2026: 6-5 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 5/27/2026: 11-2 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/26/2026: 6-1 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 5/25/2026: 9-7 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 5/20/2026: 5-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 5/19/2026: 4-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 5/18/2026: 16-6 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/25/2025: 6-5 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/24/2025: 6-2 TB (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 9/23/2025: 6-0 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)

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