Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 16

Odds updated as of 12:12 p.m.
Sunday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles.
Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.
Rays vs Orioles Game Info
- Tampa Bay Rays (74-48) vs. Baltimore Orioles (60-63)
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
- Coverage: NBCSN and Peacock
Rays vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: TB: (-138) | BAL: (+126)
- Spread: TB: -1.5 (+155) | BAL: +1.5 (-188)
- Total: 7 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)
Rays vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (Rays) - 5-9, 5.33 ERA vs Trevor Rogers (Orioles) - 7-8, 4.21 ERA
The probable starters are Freddy Peralta (5-9) for the Rays and Trevor Rogers (7-8) for the Orioles. Peralta's team is 12-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Peralta's team has been victorious in 60% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-6. When Rogers starts, the Orioles are 10-12-0 against the spread. The Orioles are 3-4 in Rogers' seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Rays vs Orioles Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (57.6%)
Rays vs Orioles Moneyline
- The Rays vs Orioles moneyline has Tampa Bay as a -138 favorite, while Baltimore is a +126 underdog on the road.
Rays vs Orioles Spread
- The Orioles are at the Rays, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Orioles are +155 to cover the spread, and the Rays are -188.
Rays vs Orioles Over/Under
- A combined run total of 7 has been set for Rays-Orioles on Aug. 16, with the over at -122 and the under at +100.
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Rays vs Orioles Betting Trends
- The Rays have been victorious in 51, or 64.6%, of the 79 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This season Tampa Bay has been victorious 25 times in 38 chances when named as a favorite of at least -138 on the moneyline.
- The Rays' games have gone over the total in 55 of their 120 opportunities.
- The Rays have an against the spread mark of 70-50-0 in 120 games with a line this season.
- The Orioles have gone 29-32 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.5% of those games).
- Baltimore is 7-11 (winning only 38.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +126 or longer.
- The Orioles have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 63 times this season for a 63-55-4 record against the over/under.
- The Orioles have covered 52.5% of their games this season, going 64-58-0 against the spread.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in total hits (128) this season while batting .275 with 54 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .366 and a slugging percentage of .544.
- Among qualified hitters, he ranks 34th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 24th, and he is third in slugging.
- Yandy Diaz has hit 17 homers this season while driving in 69 runs. He's batting .303 this season and slugging .463 with an on-base percentage of .371.
- Among qualifying batters, he is seventh in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage and 38th in slugging percentage.
- Diaz brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .319 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
- Liam Hicks is batting .284 with a .445 slugging percentage and 71 RBI this year.
- Jonathan Aranda leads Tampa Bay with an OBP of .374 this season while batting .287 with 58 walks and 58 runs scored.
- Aranda enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .318 with three walks and three RBIs.
Orioles Player Leaders
- Pete Alonso has racked up 122 hits with a .356 on-base percentage and a .487 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Orioles. He's batting .264.
- Including all the qualifying players in MLB, his batting average ranks 55th, his on-base percentage ranks 38th, and he is 22nd in slugging.
- Alonso brings a seven-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .410 with a double, four home runs, five walks and seven RBIs.
- Gunnar Henderson is hitting .221 with 21 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 50 walks. He's slugging .402 with an on-base percentage of .303.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 126th in batting average, 117th in on-base percentage and 99th in slugging percentage.
- Leody Taveras is hitting .226 with 12 doubles, six triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.
- Coby Mayo is batting .208 with 11 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 22 walks.
Rays vs Orioles Head to Head
- 8/15/2026: 4-3 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 8/14/2026: 6-5 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
- 5/27/2026: 11-2 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 5/26/2026: 6-1 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 5/25/2026: 9-7 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 5/20/2026: 5-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
- 5/19/2026: 4-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 5/18/2026: 16-6 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 9/25/2025: 6-5 BAL (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 9/24/2025: 6-2 TB (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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