Marlins vs Reds Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 16

Odds updated as of 8:12 p.m.
MLB action on Sunday includes the Miami Marlins taking on the Cincinnati Reds.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Marlins vs Reds Game Info
- Miami Marlins (62-61) vs. Cincinnati Reds (59-62)
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park -- Cincinnati, Ohio
- Coverage: Reds.TV and Marlins.TV
Marlins vs Reds Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: MIA: (-122) | CIN: (+104)
- Spread: MIA: -1.5 (+130) | CIN: +1.5 (-156)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)
Marlins vs Reds Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Eury Pérez (Marlins) - 6-9, 3.39 ERA vs Nick Lodolo (Reds) - 3-2, 4.86 ERA
The Marlins will give the nod to Eury Perez (6-9, 3.39 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 7 on the season, and the Reds will counter with Nick Lodolo (3-2, 4.86 ERA). When Perez starts, his team is 9-11-0 against the spread this season. Perez's team is 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Reds have a 6-7-0 record against the spread in Lodolo's starts. The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Lodolo's starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (66.2%)
Marlins vs Reds Moneyline
- The Marlins vs Reds moneyline has Miami as a -122 favorite, while Cincinnati is a +104 underdog at home.
Marlins vs Reds Spread
- The Reds are +1.5 on the spread (-156 to cover), and Miami is +130 to cover the runline.
Marlins vs Reds Over/Under
- A combined run total of 9.5 has been set for Marlins-Reds on Aug. 16, with the over at -102 and the under at -120.
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Marlins vs Reds Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been favorites in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (64.2%) in those contests.
- This season Miami has come away with a win 26 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins' games have gone over the total in 59 of their 121 opportunities.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 62-59-0 against the spread this season.
- The Reds have won 38 of the 78 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.7%).
- Cincinnati has a 25-35 record (winning 41.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +104 or longer.
- The Reds have played in 118 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 62 times (62-54-2).
- The Reds have a 63-55-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.4% of the time).
Marlins Player Leaders
- Otto Lopez has an OPS of .802, fueled by an OBP of .344 and a team-best slugging percentage of .458 this season. He has a .312 batting average.
- Among the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks third, his on-base percentage ranks 52nd, and he is 42nd in slugging.
- Xavier Edwards leads Miami with an OBP of .361 this season while batting .282 with 59 walks and 55 runs scored. He's slugging .385.
- His batting average is 23rd among qualified players, his on-base percentage 30th, and his slugging percentage 113th.
- Javier Sanoja is batting .271 with a .403 slugging percentage and 42 RBI this year.
- Jakob Marsee has been key for Miami with 80 hits, an OBP of .320 plus a slugging percentage of .305.
Reds Player Leaders
- Sal Stewart has racked up a slugging percentage of .478, a team-high for the Reds. He's batting .259 with an on-base percentage of .336.
- Including all qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average places him 64th, his on-base percentage ranks 67th, and he is 32nd in slugging.
- Stewart heads into this game on a six-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is batting .316 with two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
- Elly De La Cruz's 107 hits and .348 OBP both pace his team. He has a batting average of .266 while slugging .485.
- He is currently 49th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
- JJ Bleday is batting .219 with 12 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 56 walks.
- Tyler Stephenson has 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .252.
Marlins vs Reds Head to Head
- 8/14/2026: 1-0 CIN (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -114, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 4/9/2026: 8-1 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 4/8/2026: 7-4 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 4/7/2026: 6-3 CIN (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 4/6/2026: 2-0 CIN (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 7/10/2025: 6-0 CIN (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 7/9/2025: 7-2 CIN (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 7/8/2025: 12-2 MIA (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 4/23/2025: 5-2 CIN (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 4/22/2025: 4-3 MIA (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
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