Purdue vs Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 battle features the No. 2 seed Purdue Boilermakers (29-8) hitting the court against the No. 11 seed Texas Longhorns (21-14) on Thursday at SAP Center at San Jose. This NCAA Tournament contest tips at 7:10 p.m. ET, with the winner advancing to the West regional final.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Purdue vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 26, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: San Jose, California
• Arena: SAP Center at San Jose

Purdue vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (69.7%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Purdue (-7.5) versus Texas on Thursday. The total is set at 147.5 points for this game.

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Purdue vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Purdue has put together a 17-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Texas has covered 19 times in 34 matchups with a spread this season.
• As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Texas is 3-4 against the spread compared to the 10-12 ATS record Purdue puts up as a 7.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Boilermakers own a worse record against the spread (5-12-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-5-0).
• The Longhorns' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). Away, it is .700 (7-3-0).

Purdue vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Purdue has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 22 times (75.9%) in those games.
• The Boilermakers have a mark of 15-1 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -375 or better on the moneyline.
• Texas has gone 8-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
• The Longhorns have a record of 1-3 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +290 or longer (25%).
• Purdue has an implied victory probability of 78.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Purdue vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Purdue is outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game with a +446 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.2 points per game (48th in college basketball) and gives up 70.1 per contest (68th in college basketball).
• Braden Smith paces Purdue, averaging 14.3 points per game (372nd in the nation).
• Texas puts up 82.9 points per game (36th in college basketball) while giving up 76.1 per outing (238th in college basketball). It has a +239 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.8 points per game.
• Dailyn Swain's team-leading 17.4 points per game rank him 127th in college basketball.
• The Boilermakers win the rebound battle by an average of 6.7 boards. They are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game (130th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26 per contest.
• Trey Kaufman-Renn is 52nd in college basketball action with 8.5 rebounds per game to lead the Boilermakers.
• The Longhorns prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 7.8 boards. They are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26.9.
• Swain tops the team with 7.5 rebounds per game (108th in college basketball).
• Purdue ranks second in college basketball with 111 points scored per 100 possessions, and 163rd in college basketball defensively with 94.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Longhorns average 106.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (19th in college basketball), and allow 97.8 points per 100 possessions (254th in college basketball).

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