Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 9:11 a.m.

The San Diego Padres will face the Texas Rangers in MLB action on Saturday.

All the information you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Padres vs Rangers Game Info

• San Diego Padres (47-40) vs. Texas Rangers (43-45)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and RSN

Padres vs Rangers Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-142) | TEX: (+120)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+142) | TEX: +1.5 (-172)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Padres vs Rangers Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Kolek (Padres) - 3-3, 3.73 ERA vs Jack Leiter (Rangers) - 4-5, 4.29 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Stephen Kolek (3-3) to the mound, while Jack Leiter (4-5) will answer the bell for the Rangers. When Kolek starts, his team is 7-4-0 against the spread this season. When Kolek starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-3. The Rangers have a 7-7-0 record against the spread in Leiter's starts. The Rangers have a 3-8 record in Leiter's 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (56.5%)

Padres vs Rangers Moneyline

• Texas is a +120 underdog on the moneyline, while San Diego is a -142 favorite at home.

Padres vs Rangers Spread

• The Padres are hosting the Rangers and are favored by 1.5 runs (+142 to cover) on the runline. Texas is -172 to cover.

Padres vs Rangers Over/Under

• The over/under for Padres-Rangers on July 5 is 8.5. The over is -108, and the under is -112.

Bet on San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers on FanDuel today!

Padres vs Rangers Betting Trends

• The Padres have been favorites in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (61.9%) in those contests.
• This season San Diego has come away with a win 18 times in 29 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Padres are 46-40-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Rangers have gone 14-30 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.8% of those games).
• Texas has a 2-12 record (winning just 14.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Rangers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 87 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 31 of those games (31-55-1).
• The Rangers have covered 51.7% of their games this season, going 45-42-0 ATS.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 97 hits and an OBP of .357 to go with a slugging percentage of .482. All three of those stats are tops among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .292 batting average, as well.
• Among all qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 16th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and 34th in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .261 with 11 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 42 walks, while slugging .445 with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 72nd, his on-base percentage 47th, and his slugging percentage 64th.
• Tatis brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .205 with a triple, a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Luis Arraez has 93 hits this season and has a slash line of .282/.316/.394.
• Gavin Sheets is batting .264 with a .324 OBP and 49 RBI for San Diego this season.
• Sheets enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with three walks.

Rangers Player Leaders

• Marcus Semien is hitting .238 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 37 walks. He's slugging .365 with an on-base percentage of .318.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 119th, his on-base percentage ranks 100th, and he is 138th in slugging.
• Semien hopes to build on a nine-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .318 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and 10 RBIs.
• Josh Smith's .357 on-base percentage and .414 slugging percentage are both team-highs. He has a batting average of .284.
• He ranks 31st in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage and 90th in slugging percentage in MLB.
• Adolis Garcia is hitting .228 with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks.
• Corey Seager has eight doubles, 11 home runs and 31 walks while batting .250.

Padres vs Rangers Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 7/4/2024: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2024: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 7/2/2024: 7-0 TEX (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 7/30/2023: 5-3 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 7/29/2023: 4-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 7/28/2023: 7-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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