Mariners vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.

MLB action on Saturday includes the Seattle Mariners facing the Pittsburgh Pirates.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Mariners vs Pirates Game Info

• Seattle Mariners (46-42) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (38-51)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: T-Mobile Park -- Seattle, Washington
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, ROOT Sports NW, and SportsNet PT

Mariners vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SEA: (-178) | PIT: (+150)
• Spread: SEA: -1.5 (+116) | PIT: +1.5 (-140)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Mariners vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo (Mariners) - 4-5, 3.55 ERA vs Mike Burrows (Pirates) - 1-2, 4.15 ERA

The Mariners will give the nod to Luis Castillo (4-5) versus the Pirates and Mike Burrows (1-2). Castillo and his team have a record of 7-10-0 against the spread when he starts. Castillo's team is 7-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. When Burrows starts, the Pirates are 4-2-0 against the spread. The Pirates have a 3-3 record in Burrows' six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Mariners vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mariners win (59%)

Mariners vs Pirates Moneyline

• Seattle is a -178 favorite on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is a +150 underdog on the road.

Mariners vs Pirates Spread

• The Mariners are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Pirates. The Mariners are +116 to cover, and the Pirates are -140.

Mariners vs Pirates Over/Under

• A total of 7.5 runs has been set for the Mariners-Pirates contest on July 5, with the over available at -115 and the under at -105.

Bet on Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on FanDuel today!

Mariners vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Mariners have won in 31, or 55.4%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Seattle has a record of 5-5 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -178 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mariners and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Mariners have an against the spread mark of 38-48-0 in 86 games with a line this season.
• The Pirates have a 24-33 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.1% of those games).
• Pittsburgh has gone 7-14 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer (33.3%).
• In the 82 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Pirates, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 32 times (32-47-3).
• The Pirates are 41-41-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Player Leaders

• Cal Raleigh has 87 hits, which leads Seattle hitters this season, while batting .271 with 51 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .379 and a slugging percentage of .648.
• Among qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 56th, his on-base percentage ranks 13th, and he is second in slugging.
• Julio Rodriguez leads Seattle in slugging percentage (.391) thanks to 26 extra-base hits. He's batting .249 with an on-base percentage of .307.
• He is 105th in batting average, 115th in on-base percentage and 110th in slugging in the major leagues.
• Randy Arozarena has 80 hits this season and has a slash line of .252/.359/.443.
• J.P. Crawford leads Seattle in OBP (.385) this season, fueled by 89 hits.
• Crawford takes a six-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .289 with a double and an RBI.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has racked up 59 hits, a team-best for the Pirates. He's batting .208 and slugging .412 with an on-base percentage of .321.
• Including all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average puts him 151st, his on-base percentage is 93rd, and he is 93rd in slugging.
• Bryan Reynolds' .389 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .235 with an on-base percentage of .301.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 127th in batting average, 126th in on-base percentage and 114th in slugging percentage.
• Andrew McCutchen a has .347 on-base percentage to lead the Pirates.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .275 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.

Mariners vs Pirates Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 6-0 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 8/18/2024: 10-3 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 8/17/2024: 7-2 PIT (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 8/16/2024: 5-3 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/28/2023: 6-3 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 5/27/2023: 5-0 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -225, Underdog Moneyline: +188)
• 5/26/2023: 11-6 PIT (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)

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