Ohio State vs TCU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes (21-12) meet the No. 9 TCU Horned Frogs (22-11) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, starting at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Ohio State vs. TCU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Greenville, South Carolina
• Arena: Bon Secours Wellness Arena

Ohio State vs. TCU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Ohio State win (60.1%)

Before you wager on Thursday's Ohio State-TCU spread (Ohio State -2.5) or over/under (145.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Ohio State vs. TCU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Ohio State is 18-15-0 ATS this season.
• TCU has compiled a 19-14-0 record against the spread this year.
• Ohio State (8-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (44.4%) than TCU (8-3) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (72.7%).
• The Buckeyes own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (8-9-0) than they do in away games (6-5-0).
• This year, the Horned Frogs are 9-10-0 at home against the spread (.474 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-3-0 ATS (.667).

Ohio State vs. TCU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Ohio State has been victorious in 18, or 90%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Buckeyes have come away with a win 16 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or better on the moneyline.
• TCU is 5-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
• The Horned Frogs have a 5-6 record (winning 45.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Ohio State has a 57.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Ohio State vs. TCU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Ohio State was 58th in college basketball in points scored (78.8 per game) and 225th in points allowed (73.5) last season.
• Last year, Ohio State was 287th in the country in rebounds (30.2 per game) and 147th in rebounds allowed (30.7).
• Ohio State was 214th in college basketball in assists (13.1 per game) last season.
• With 10.3 turnovers committed per game and 11.3 turnovers forced last year, Ohio State was 98th and 176th in the country, respectively.
• With 67.6 points per game on offense, TCU was 326th in college basketball last year. Defensively, it ceded 68.7 points per contest, which ranked 74th in college basketball.
• TCU grabbed 31.2 boards per game (221st-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 30.9 rebounds per contest (164th-ranked).
• Last year TCU ranked 279th in college basketball in assists, averaging 12.2 per game.
• Last season TCU averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (150th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 12.1 turnovers per contest (100th-ranked).

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