NBA Draft Betting: Odds to Be a Top-10 Pick

Riley Thomas
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The 2024 NBA Draft starts in a matter of hours with the first round tipping off at 8 p.m. ET. There are still some markets at FanDuel Sportsbook worth highlighting that hold excellent value.

While FanDuel's NBA Draft odds for which players will be top-3 or top-5 picks will command most of the attention, prospects vying to be a top-10 selection should not be overlooked.

Following the first few picks is when we get uncertainty surrounding lottery picks. With that said, the top-10 pick market has several prospects standing out as solid bets. Let's look at the odds and break down the best bets to be top-10 selections.

NBA Draft Top 10 Pick
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Cody Williams-550
Tidjane Salaun-150
Devin Carter-140
Ron Holland-105
Rob Dillingham+115
Zach Edey+250
Nikola Topić+250
View Full Table

NBA Draft Odds

Cody Williams (-550)

Perhaps the only "layup" to be a top-10 pick for this market is Cody Williams of Colorado. No pick is a guarantee as the NBA Draft consistently delivers surprises. Who knows, maybe Williams somehow falls out of the top 10.

Still, I'm willing to take my chances on this one considering the -550 odds. Several mock drafts have Williams in the top seven selection; he is even cracking the top five in a handful of mocks. For example, USA Today has Williams going No. 5 to the Detroit Pistons, and is mocking Williams to the Portland Trail Blazers in the seventh slot.

While Williams wasn't the most productive collegiate player with 11.9 points per game (PPG) and 3.0 rebounds per game (RPG), there's no denying this prospect's talent. Williams earned Pac-12 All-Freshman honors while carrying very efficient shooting marks: a 55.2% field goal percentage (FG%) and 41.5% three-point percentage.

He has a strong all-around game as various scouting reports have highlighted. Jonathan Wasserman of Bleacher Report focused on his finishing, defense, and catch-and-shoot strengths. Williams was also 247 Sports' fourth-best prospect out of the 2023 recruiting class. Hooping at the highest level runs in Williams' blood, for his older brother is Jalen Williams of the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The fits to the Pistons or Trail Blazers make sense. Each squad finished among the bottom eight defensive ratings in the 2023-24 season. Both teams are sorely missing a quality two-way wing, which is exactly what Williams could mold into.

The -550 odds are far from intriguing, but this is about as "safe" as it gets for the top-10 pick market.

Ron Holland (-105)

Now, let's get into some value picks. Ron Holland opted to skip college after decommitting from Texas and joining the G League ranks. He is a similar case to Williams -- a young prospect with untapped potential who was one of the best recruits out of the 2023 class.

Holland enters the draft at 18 and will turn 19 in July. In way-too-early 2024 mocks, Holland was regarded as one of, if not the best prospect, of this class. So what caused Holland to fall from grace?

His averages were solid in the G League with 19.5 PPG and 6.7 RPG. However, Holland lacked efficiency with a 44.3 FG% while making only 24.0% from beyond the arc. This is where Holland's stock has taken a big hit.

As a 6-foot-7 forward, his shooting is far from what it needs to be in modern basketball. Holland has showcased streaky shooting with questionable decision-making. Kevin O'Connor of The Ringer took some time to highlight his poor shooting in his scouting report. The Athletic's Sam Vecenie also reported that Holland did not impress teams during visits and his pro day.

There's good reason that Holland is now far from being a top-3 pick, but falling out of the top 10 would be surprising. He still has a high ceiling thanks to elite athleticism, the ability to finish at the rim, and exceptional defensive versatility.

A team could swing on Holland's potential in a weak draft class within the top-10 picks. With the -105 odds, this feels like a worthwhile side to take.

The Memphis Grizzlies at No. 9 has been a popular suitor in mocks. This would be an ideal fit for Holland due to his explosive finishing ability paired with promising defensive upside.

Rob Dillingham (+115)

Let's round out our final top-10 prospect with some plus odds. Rob Dillingham was seeing his name crack the top-five picks during the college basketball season. While Dillingham is a walking bucket with excellent ball handling, his frame has generated some concerns.

At about 6-foot-1, 164 pounds, it's hard to not be worried about Dillingham's frame. Poor defense was a consistent knock during his time at Kentucky, and there may not be much potential here at all due to his small frame.

Teams dream of turning any lottery pick into a superstar. Due to his size, Dillingham could lack the potential to develop into a star guard. His role for the NBA looks pretty clear: come off the bench and pour in points.

Dillingham has often drawn comparisons to Lou Williams. Nah'Shon Hyland is another solid comp, for he's in a scoring role off the bench while weighing only 173 pounds.

As previously mentioned, the 2024 draft class is weak. Dillingham's ability to score feels pretty safe, which could translate nicely to a bench role. There are several teams within the top 10 that could use this, including the San Antonio Spurs at No. 8.

One of the Spurs' most popular mocks with the eighth pick has been Dillingham. The New York Post's most recent mock draft has Rob going eighth. Dillingham's superb ability to put the ball in the basket is worth a swing considering the +115 line.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.