MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 6/27/2024

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 6/27/2024

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Thursday 6/27/24

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles Over 4.5 Runs (+102)
Gunnar Henderson to Record 2+ Total Bases (-105)
Corbin Burnes Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-112)

Combined Odds: +455

The Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles begin a four-game series on Thursday with Jon Gray and Corbin Burnes taking the mound. There are promising angles concerning each pitcher in this matchup.

Let's start with Gray, who is currently carrying a career-best 3.03 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Baltimore will be a tough test, for they've scored the most runs in baseball. Despite some impressive stats, Gray could be in store for an underwhelming outing.

Gray has given up three home runs over his last three starts and is in the bottom 18% in hard-hit percentage, per Baseball Savant. The O's are the best slugging team in MLB with the highest slugging percentage (SLG), isolated power (ISO), and home run percentage.

The Rangers' starter consistently deploys sliders (45.4%) and four-seam fastballs (42.8%). This is yet another potential problem with Baltimore totaling the 3rd-most runs above average against fastballs and the 11th-most when facing sliders.

The Orioles going over 4.5 runs has excellent odds at +102. A favorable matchup against Texas' hurler makes this bet worthwhile.

We can also highlight one of Baltimore's best hitters for this matchup. Gunnar Henderson continues to hit the cover off of the ball with the second-most home runs in baseball. As expected, Henderson is toward the top of nearly every metric that measures hard-hit balls. For example, he's in the 97th percentile of average exit velocity, the 95th percentile in bat speed, the 90th percentile in barrel percentage, and the 98th percentile in hard-hit percentage.

Considering Henderson's slugging and Gray's tendency to give up hard contact, totaling two bases looks favorable for the Orioles' shortstop.

Baltimore will also have their Cy Young contender on the mound as Burnes is +300 to win the award, per FanDuel's MLB award odds. Burnes carries an elite 2.35 ERA, but his strikeout numbers haven't been nearly as impressive.

In fact, the veteran righty is carrying his lowest strikeout percentage (K%) since 2018. Burnes has been under six strikeouts in three of his last five games.

Meanwhile, the Rangers are tied for the sixth-lowest K%. Texas is among the top 16 teams in runs above average against sliders and curveballs -- Burnes' top K% pitches. The under could keep producing for Burnes.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals Under 4.5 Runs (-150)
Spencer Steer to Record an RBI (+135)

Combined Odds: +284

Andrew Abbott will make his 16th start for the Cincinnati Reds against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. It's been a so-so month for Abbott, who has a 3.74 ERA with opponents batting .235 over his previous four starts.

The Cardinals have been a pretty favorable matchup for most starters, for they have scored the fifth-fewest runs and are in the bottom half of batting average. When facing left-handed pitchers -- which applies to Abbott -- St. Louis' batting average goes from .240 (14th-lowest) to .215 (2nd-lowest). They also hold the second-lowest on-base percentage (OBP) when squaring off with southpaws.

The Redlegs' lefty seems in store for a successful appearance considering the Cards' struggles. This becomes even more likely with St. Louis carrying the fourth-fewest runs above average against Abbott's most-used pitch, a four-seam fastball (54.7%).

Since his debut in the 2023 season, Abbott has faced the Cardinals three times. He's pitched into the sixth inning in two of the three games. With St. Louis stumbling against lefties, a strong start from Abbott could help contribute to the Cardinals scoring under 4.5 runs.

To round out our Same Game Parlay for Reds-Cardinals, let's target a batter. Miles Mikolas will be on the rubber for St. Louis. He's been quite average with a 4.68 ERA and 4.06 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA).

Cincinnati's Spencer Steer is a batter worth circling. Over nine career at-bats against Mikolas, Steer is hitting .444. Steer's most hit pitches are four-seam fastballs, sinkers, and sliders. This spells trouble for Mikolas, whose most-used pitches are four-seam fastballs (25.1%), sinkers (24.5%), and sliders (24.4%).

Cincy's first baseman is in a prime spot as the cleanup batter for knocking batters to the home plate. He leads the squad with 49 RBIs -- 10 more than the Reds' next-best mark. Steer has also racked up six RBIs over his previous five contests.

The favorable matchup is there, making Steer to record an RBI a great value.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.