MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 5/31/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 5/31/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Friday 5/31/24

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

Gunnar Henderson to Record 2+ Total Bases (+105)
Baltimore Orioles Over 4.5 Total Runs (+112)

Combined Odds: +236

It has been a largely forgettable start to the season for Aaron Civale, who is giving up a career-worst 1.75 HR/9 and is recording the lowest swinging-strike rate (9.1%) of his career since 2019. Civale is getting hit pretty hard, ranking in the 26th percentile in average exit velocity (89.8 MPH) and 35th percentile in hard-hit rate (40.5%) through his first 11 starts for the Tampa Bay Rays.

Entering Friday's AL East showdown against the Baltimore Orioles, Civale is permitting a .376 wOBA, 1.57 WHIP, and 2.21 HR/9 to lefties, compared to a .317 wOBA, 1.21 WHIP, and 1.49 HR/9 to righties. Considering those numbers, Gunnar Henderson appears to be in a premier spot out of the leadoff spot for the Orioles.

Henderson -- who has the fourth-shortest odds to win American League MVP (+500) -- is sporting a .383 wOBA, .340 ISO, and 153 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this year. In terms of his recent performances, Henderson has tallied two-plus bases in seven of his last 13 outings -- including back-to-back contests.

Given Civale's tendency to surrender hard contact and Henderson's blazing start to the campaign, it's worth noting that Henderson has +400 odds to hit a home run on Friday.

Being that Civale has allowed three-plus earned runs in six of his last eight starts, we'll also take the Orioles to score five-plus runs. Baltimore owns the 12th-best wRC+ (103) and the 2nd-best ISO (.183) against right-handed pitching while they are averaging 5.07 runs per game at home in 2024.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox

Tanner Houck to Record 5+ Strikeouts (-340)
Rafael Devers to Record an RBI (+100)
First 5 Innings Result: Boston Red Sox (-130)

Combined Odds: +274

During Thursday's clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Boston Red Sox, Nick Pivetta racked up nine Ks for the Red Sox. On the season, the Tigers are recording the seventh-highest strikeout rate (24.2%) against right-handed pitching and the sixth-highest CSW rate (28.8%), and Tanner Houck is set to make his 12th start of the season.

Houck isn't logging strikeouts at the same rate as Pivetta, but he's still in the 64th percentile in chase rate (29.9%) and 65th percentile in strikeout rate (24.4%). Across his first 11 starts, Houck has posted five-plus Ks in eight of them -- with five-plus strikeouts in five of his last six.

Kenta Maeda has struggled mightily on the mound for the Tigers, posting a 4.80 SIERA, 4.86 xFIP, and career-worst marks in HR/9 (2.27) and swinging-strike rate (8.9%). Even though Maeda is giving up more homers to righties, Rafael Devers is still in a fantastic spot on Friday.

Maeda is permitting a .347 wOBA, 1.33 WHIP, and 1.50 HR/9 to left-handed bats. Meanwhile, Devers is notching a .432 wOBA, .330 ISO, and 179 wRC+ with just a 19.3% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching.

With winds blowing from left to right at Fenway Park and Devers recently having a six-game streak of hitting a long ball, he's being given +350 odds to hit a home run.

Along with backing Houck and fading Maeda, we'll take the Red Sox to secure a lead in the first five innings. Maeda has given up three-plus earned runs in four of his eight starts, and he's pitched at least six innings just twice this season.

Washington Nationals at Cleveland Guardians

David Fry to Record 2+ Total Bases (+120)
Cleveland Guardians Over 4.5 Total Runs (-104)

Combined Odds: +230

The Cleveland Guardians have excelled against left-handed pitching this season to the tune of the fourth-best wOBA (.335), fourth-best wRC+ (121), and second-best ISO (.185) in that split. Taking those metrics into consideration, Patrick Corbin could be in store for a long day -- or a short day depending on how you look at it -- for the Washington Nationals on Friday.

Corbin is in the third percentile in xERA (6.37), first percentile in xBA (.322), fifth percentile in strikeout rate (13.2%), and sixth percentile in hard-hit rate (48.8%). Corbin has allowed six-plus hits in nine of his 11 starts in 2024, and he's given up three-plus earned runs in eight of those outings.

With Corbin allowing a .396 wOBA, .559 SLG, and 1.48 HR/9 to right-handed hitters, compared to a .394 wOBA, .500 SLG, and 0.77 HR/9 to left-handed hitters, David Fry is an intriguing player to target to tally two-plus bases. In his first 64 plate appearances versus southpaws, Fry is posting a fantastic .561 wOBA, .372 ISO, and 275 wRC+ in that split.

Fry has been swinging a hot bat as of late, totaling at least one hit in nine of his last 11 contests with four multi-hit outings and four homers in that span. Despite his gaudy numbers against left-handed pitching, Fry has just +560 odds to hit a home run.

FanDuel Research's Tom Vecchio has Fry listed among his favorite players to hit a homer on Friday.

To correlate with fading Corbin and backing Fry, we'll side with the Guardians to plate five-plus runs at home. Although it should be mentioned that each of their previous three contest took place at Coors Field, Cleveland has produced five-plus runs in eight of their last 11 games.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.