MLB

MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/2/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/2/24

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Betting Picks

Oakland Athletics at Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves Alternate Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-156)
Marcell Ozuna to Record 2+ Bases (-120)

After scoring nine runs on Saturday, Atlanta's offense have a great spot to continue their momentum with a slate-high 6.14 expected team total against right-hander Luis Medina.

Through 82.1 career innings as a starter, Medina has not performed well on baseball's top level, accounting for a below-average 4.88 xFIP and a wild 12.1% walk percentage while consistently struggling to get outs versus either side of the plate (5.00 xFIP versus LHH, 4.60 xFIP against RHH).

When evaluating Medina's career struggles, massive power concerns against right-handed bats (37.4% hard hit rate, 15.7% home run to fly-ball ratio), and his upcoming challenge versus eight batters with wOBAs ranging from .323 to .420, there are many solid reasons to believe Atlanta's offense is set to explode again on Sunday afternoon especially with Marcell Ozuna swinging a hot bat in his last 65 plate appearances (.289 expected average, 60% hard hit rate, 9 extra base hits).

Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Moneyline (-158)

In a matchup between Chris Bassitt and Quinn Priester, the Blue Jays offer tremendous value as a home favorite with a 8.1% gap between their 69.3% win probability and 61.2% implied percentage.

Despite some concerns towards Bassitt's mediocre metrics in his last 44 starts (4.18 xFIP, 4.24 SIERA, 4.26 FIP), the veteran still presents a pitching advantage for Toronto when comparing his profile with Priester's career statistics in this role (4.83 xFIP, 6.57 FIP) while the Blue Jays' offense offers a huge edge with far superior rankings in wOBA (19th versus 28th), Wins Above Replacement (13th versus 28th), and wRC+ (16th versus 26th).

Armed with advantages in their starting pitching and offense, it's clear the Blue Birds should take the rubber game of their Interleague Series on Sunday as the better overall team.

Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers Over 4.5 Runs (-130)

Heading into Sunday in impressive form after scoring 40 runs in their last six games, the "Brew Crew" should continue their hot offense with a 5.81 projected team total versus rookie Nick Nastrini.

In 16.1 innings during his first MLB stint, the 24-year old has produced downright horrid metrics through four starts, recording a 7.17 xFIP and a laughable 20.0% walk percentage while also allowing a 9.1% opposing barrel rate and a 13.8% home run to fly-ball ratio.

Don't overthink this matchup, expect the Brewers to have a blast at home against a rookie who has been clearly overmatched in the big leagues.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.