NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Sunday 3/10/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Sunday 3/10/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

Team
Opp
O/U
Spread
Implied Total
Injuries
BKNCLE208.57.5100.5Walker available / Cam Johnson, Simmons OUT
PHINY211.57.5102Batum available / Maxey, Embiid, Melton, Covington OUT
MEMOKC219.515102.25Goodwin, Konchar doubtful / Williams, GG Jackson questionable / Bane, Morant, Rose, Smart, Pippen, Watanabe OUT
ATLNO2248108Murray probable / Young, Johnson, Okongwu OUT
CLEBKN208.5-7.5108Mitchell, Mobley, Strus, Wade OUT
WSHMIA22910.5109.25Shamet available / Holmes questionable / Bagley OUT
NYPHI211.5-7.5109.5Randle, Anunoby, Robinson OUT
View Full Table

Guards

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($11,200): Oklahoma City's emerging MVP candidate ranks first overall with a 50.3 fantasy projection versus a Memphis Grizzlies' team giving up 49.7 FanDuel points per game to his position. In the past month, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 54.2 FanDuel points per contest and 1.60 FanDuel points per minute.

De'Aaron Fox ($9,900): Even at his highest salary since January 3rd, Fox is third overall with a 44.5 fantasy projection in an underrated spot against a Houston Rockets' defense 13th in FanDuel points (48.2 per game) allowed to his position. In his last eight games, Fox has produced 1.40 FanDuel points per minute and 53.3 FanDuel points per contest.

Jalen Brunson ($9,600): New York's All-Star is fifth overall with a 43.8 fantasy projection after he produced 1.26 FanDuel points per minute and a 35.3% usage rate with the Knicks' injuries.

Dejounte Murray ($9,500): Despite a challenging spot against a New Orleans Pelicans' unit ranked fourth in fantasy production (46.3 FanDuel points per game) allowed to point guards, Murray still rates as a viable play, recording an eye-popping 1.30 FanDuel points per minute and a 30.8% usage rate with Atlanta's inactives.

Darius Garland ($7,800): In a matchup versus a Brooklyn Nets' defense allowing 49.0 FanDuel points per game to his position, Cleveland's point guard is third overall in value with a 5.56 rating and a 43.3 fantasy projection. Garland has accounted for 1.02 FanDuel points per minute and a team-high 29.8% usage rate with Sunday's injuries.

Fred VanVleet ($7,800): At his median salary in March, Houston's veteran has another spot to continue his production against a Sacramento Kings' unit ranked 18th in fantasy points allowed to point guards (49.0 FanDuel points per game) after VanVleet averaged 42.2 FanDuel points per appearance since February 29th.

Jalen Green ($7,000): The 22-year old has found his form in his last six games, recording 1.11 FanDuel points per minute and 39.6 FanDuel points per contest.

Donte DiVincenzo ($7,000): After a huge 7.8% salary drop, DiVincenzo is second in value among guards with a 5.43 rating and a 38.0 fantasy projection.

Caris LeVert ($6,900): Cleveland's sixth man has basically played in a starting role since February 25th, averaging 1.14 FanDuel points per minute and a 21.6% usage rate while logging 32.5 minutes per contest.

Terry Rozier ($6,800): The 29-year old is ninth among guards in value with a 4.67 rating and a 31.8 fantasy projection after he produced 1.07 FanDuel points and a 24.5% usage rate with the Heat's inactives.

Isaac Okoro $5,600): Even at his highest salary this month, Okoro still rates as a viable mid-salary option, averaging 30.9 FanDuel points and 35.8 minutes per game since last week.

Kyle Lowry ($5,200): The veteran is fourth in value among his position with a 5.05 rating and a 26.3 fantasy projection after he accounted for 0.80 FanDuel points with Philadelphia's rotation.

Sam Merrill ($4,000): With Dean Wade sidelined for personal reasons, Merrill is expected to see more minutes while also averaging 0.76 FanDuel points and a 20.7% usage rate with today's inactives.

Forwards

Domantas Sabonis ($11,000): Despite averaging just 30.0 FanDuel points against the Rockets, Sabonis is second overall with a 49.1 fantasy projection at his highest salary this season. Since January 29th, Sabonis has accounted for 1.50 FanDuel points per minute and 55.3 FanDuel points per game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. ($9,200): The Grizzlies' star has a monster role with Memphis dealing with so many injuries, producing 1.27 FanDuel points per minute and a 33.2% usage rate with today's inactives.

Jarrett Allen ($9,000): Despite a 4.6% salary jump to his second highest point this season, Allen needs to be considered after he accounted for 1.10 FanDuel points per minute with the Cavaliers' short-handed rotation.

Paolo Banchero ($8,900): In a great matchup versus an Indiana Pacers' defense allowing the second most FanDuel points (51.6 per game) to power forwards, Banchero is sixth among his position with a 38.5 fantasy projection. If Jalen Suggs and Markelle Fultz are unable to play, Banchero's metrics move up to 1.21 FanDuel points per minute and a 32.8% usage rate.

Jimmy Butler ($8,800): Miami's star should be a popular option on Sunday after he produced a team-high 1.21 FanDuel points per minute and a 25.9% usage rate with three Heat players sitting out with injuries.

Zion Williamson ($8,400): The Pelians' big man is seventh among his position with a 38.5 fantasy projection in a ceiling spot versus an Atlanta Hawks' team 26th in FanDuel points (50.3) allowed to power forwards.

Brandon Ingram ($8,200): Since his return on February 25th, Ingram has produced 1.19 FanDuel points per minute and 37.9 FanDuel points per contest.

Josh Hart ($7,400): After a 6.4% decrease to his lowest salary in March, Hart's expectations offer underrated return with a 4.75 value rating and a 35.1 fantasy projection.

Deni Avdija ($6,900): Despite his team's struggles, Avdija has remained productive, recording 1.01 FanDuel points per minute and a 21.2% usage rate with Washington's rotation.

Caleb Martin ($5,100): In 246 minutes with Miami's inactives, Martin is averaging 0.82 FanDuel points per minute and a 19.0% usage rate.

Georges Niang ($5,100): Cleveland's veteran is another value option to consider, accounting for 0.76 FanDuel points and a 19.2% usage rate in today's splits.

Bruno Fernando ($4,300): Even in a bench role, Atlanta's big man is second in value among forwards with a 5.55 rating and a 23.9 fantasy projection after he produced 0.96 FanDuel points per minute with Sunday's injuries.

Centers

Alperen Sengun ($9,100): Houston's center has been on fire this month, accounting for 60.0 FanDuel points per game and a wild 1.67 FanDuel points per minute. Sengun is fourth overall with a 44.3 fantasy projection in a matchup he has averaged 16.5 real-life points and 42.7 FanDuel points in two previous meetings versus the Sacramento Kings.

Bam Adebayo ($8,300): In a mouth-watering spot versus a Washington Wizards' team giving up the most FanDuel points (62.8 per game) to centers, Adebayo is sixth overall with a 43.6 fantasy projection. Miami's reliable big man is averaging 1.14 FanDuel points per minute and a 24.9% usage rate with today's rotation.

Richaun Holmes ($5,700): After seeing a starting role at the five position on Friday, Holmes is 11th overall in value with a 4.99 rating and a 28.4 fantasy projection. In 139 minutes with Sunday's injuries, the 30-year old is averaging 0.93 FanDuel points per minute.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.