NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Saturday 3/23/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Saturday 3/23/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

Team
Opp
O/U
Spread
Implied Total
Injuries
CHAATL214.59102.75Ball, Curry, Martin, McGowens, Williams OUT
SACORL2163.5106.25Huerter, Lyles OUT
CHIBOS2227.5107.25Caruso, White probable / LaVine, Williams OUT
UTAHHOU22811108.5Collins questionable / Markkanen, Clarkson, OUT
SAPHX2289.5109.25
ORLSAC216-3.5109.75Harris questionable
ATLCHA214.5-9111.75Young, Bey, Johnson OUT / Okongwu doubtful
View Full Table

Guards

Dejounte Murray ($9,900): Despite a 4.2% salary increase to his highest point this month, Murray is fourth overall with a 45.5 fantasy projection versus a Charlotte Hornets' defense giving up 49.4 FanDuel points per game to point guards. In 350 minutes this season with today's inactives, Murray is averaging 1.25 FanDuel points per minute and a 30.9% usage rate.

Devin Booker ($9,300): Since his return on March 11th, Booker ranks first among his team in fantasy production (1.24 FanDuel points per minute) and usage (26.9%) while his salary has not moved despite his metrics.

Jalen Green ($8,300): Even at his highest salary this season, Green must be considered against a Utah Jazz team ranked 26th in FanDuel points (44.0 per game) allowed to shooting guards. In his four games, Green has been on fire, recording 50.9 FanDuel points per contest and a 29.5% usage rate.

Fred VanVleet ($8,100): Despite his recent lackluster real-life scoring performances, VanVleet is 11th among his position in value with a 4.78 rating and a 38.7 fantasy projection against a Jazz unit allowing the third most FanDuel points (52.0 per game) to point guards. In 354 minutes with Houston's injuries, the veteran is producing 1.12 FanDuel points per minute and a 22.1% usage rate.

Derrick White ($7,900): Boston's versatile guard sees a boost in his metrics to 1.25 FanDuel points per minute and a 30.8% usage rate with today's splits.

Ayo Dosunmu ($7,500): While today's matchup is not ideal versus a Boston Celtics ranked second in defensive rating. Dosunmu has displayed serious upside in his last three appearances, accounting for 1.19 FanDuel points per minute and 46.9 FanDuel points per contest.

Collin Sexton ($7,400): With Utah's short-handed rotation, Sexton has played an important role in Utah's offense even off the bench, recording 1.27 FanDuel points per minute and a 27.1% usage rate with today's splits.

Jordan Poole ($6,800): If Poole is able to suit up after he was listed as questionable, the 24-year old sees a boost in his metrics with today's rotation, accounting for 1.12 FanDuel points per minute and a 31.3% usage rate.

Gary Trent Jr. ($6,500): Toronto's shooting guard should lead their starting five in offense, recording a 23.8% usage rate and 0.94 FanDuel points per minute in today's splits.

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,400): In an increased offensive role with Jalen Johnson and Trae Young sidelined, Bogdanovic is fourth in value among guards with a 5.28 rating and a 33.8 fantasy projection. The 31-year old has produced 0.93 FanDuel points per minute and a 22.1% usage rate in 263 minutes with Atlanta's injuries.

Keyonte George ($6,300): The Jazz rookie has been effective when given a full workload, ranking first among is his team's expected starting unit in usage (29.7%) and third in fantasy production (1.02 FanDuel points per minute).

Vasilije Micic ($5,800): Since March 3rd, Micic has accounted for 0.88 FanDuel points per minute and a 23.6% usage rate while logging 31.9 minutes per game in a starting role.

Payton Pritchard ($5,400): The Celtics' fourth-year guard rates as an optimal mid-salary option, averaging 1.03 FanDuel points per minute with today's rotation.

Gradey Dick ($4,800) / Ochai Agbaji ($4,600): With four Toronto starters sitting out,, Dick should see an expanded role, producing 0.54 FanDuel points per minute and a 20.7% usage rate while Agbaji has accounted for 0.92 FanDuel points per minute and a 18.1% usage rate.

Forwards

Domantas Sabonis ($11,100): Sacramento's playmaking big is third overall with a 48.7 fantasy projection despite a tough matchup against an Orlando Magic team ranked third in FanDuel points (50.3) allowed to his position. Sabonis crushed Orlando in their last encounter, producing an eye-popping 70.6 fantasy point triple-double.

Jayson Tatum ($10,100): With Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, and Kristaps Porzingis inactive for the second part of Boston's back-to-back, Tatum's metrics could see a huge boost to 1.53 FanDuel points per minute and a 28.5% usage rate if he is available.

Kevin Durant ($9,400): Despite several disappointing performances this month, Durant is fourth among forwards with a 43.6 fantasy projection at his lowest point this season against a San Antonio defense giving up 46.4 FanDuel points per game to his position.

Paolo Banchero ($8,800): Orlando's emerging star leads his team's first unit in fantasy production (1.15 FanDuel points per minute) and usage (28.5%) this month while his salary has moved up 3.5% since March 3rd. Banchero was unstoppable versus the Sacramento Kings in their first meeting, recording 43 real-life points and 47.3 FanDuel points at a salary just 2.3% lower than today's.

Kyle Kuzma ($8,700): In 66 minutes with Washington's inactives, Kuzma's production sees an impressive increase to 1.45 FanDuel points per minute and a 30.7% usage rate.

Miles Bridges ($8,400): At his lowest salary in March, Bridges could offer monster return in a mouth-watering spot against an Atlanta Hawks ranked 27th in FanDuel points (50.4) allowed to power forwards. The former Michigan State big is seventh among forwards with a 38.9 fantasy projection.

Deni Avdija ($7,500): Despite a 4.1% salary bump, Avdija still offers underrated upside with his metrics standing at 1.0 FanDuel point per minute and a 20.6% usage rate versus a declining unit Toronto Raptors' unit ranked 24th in defensive rating.

Kelly Olynyk ($6,800) / Bruce Brown Jr. ($5,900): With Toronto clearly in tank mode, Olynyk has played an increased role in today's splits, producing 0.98 FanDuel points per minute and a 20.3% usage rate while Brown's metrics stands at 0.76 FanDuel points per minute and a 18.7% usage rate.

De'Andre Hunter ($5,700): At his median salary in March, Hunter offers upside with Atlanta's injuries, recording 0.78 FanDuel points per minute and a 22.8% usage rate.

Taylor Hendricks ($5,100) / Brice Sensabaugh ($4,300): Both of Utah's rookies rate as viable value options with Lauri Markkanen sidelined after Hendricks produced 0.93 FanDuel points per minute and Sensabaugh accounted for 0.75 FanDuel points per minute with today's splits.

Centers

Victor Wembanyama ($11,200): At his second lowest salary this month, San Antonio's rookie is first overall with a 49.5 fantasy projection versus a Phoenix Suns' defense he has averaged 28 real-life points and 48.0 FanDuel points against in two prior meetings.

Al Horford ($6,200): Boston's veteran is sixth among centers in value with a 4.82 rating and a 29.9 fantasy projection after he accounted for 1.0 FanDuel point per minute with today's rotation.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.