Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Germany: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Germany: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and we are into the final round of group matches. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Sunday, June 23rd, Germany (16th in the FIFA rankings) face off with Switzerland (19th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Switzerland vs. Germany: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Switzerland vs. Germany Odds

  • Germany to Win: -145
  • Switzerland to Win: +420
  • Draw: +270
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -122
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: +100

Switzerland vs. Germany Analysis

Going by the eye test, Germany have looked like the tourney's best team, picking up multi-goal wins over Scotland (5-1) and Hungary (2-0) through two matches.

The expected goals (xG) data, per FBRef's model, looks good for Germany, but it doesn't look quite as stellar as their results do. Overall, Germany has accumulated 3.5 xG while conceding 1.2 xG (all of which came in the Hungary match).

Switzerland has registered a win (3-1 over Hungary) and a draw (1-1 versus Scotland) through two outings. They've totaled 3.4 xG while giving up 2.0 xG.

A key thing to note for this match is that Germany have already clinched a spot in the Round of 16, so they may rotate the squad a bit. With that said, the Germans are playing on home soil, so they could be inclined to keep their foot on the gas.

Switzerland vs. Germany Prediction

Opta's model hands Germany win odds of 52.3% while projecting a draw (24.2%) and a Switzerland win (23.5%) as nearly equally likely.

MasseyRatings sees a much more even match, projecting Germany to win just 39% of the time while giving the Swiss 34% win odds.

While host Germany have been impressive so far, the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook may be overrating them a bit. Germany's -145 moneyline implies win odds of 59.2% -- a good bit higher than what either model has.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.