Chattanooga vs Citadel College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SoCon Tournament

The No. 8 seed Chattanooga Mocs (13-18, 7-11 SoCon) and the No. 9 seed Citadel Bulldogs (10-21, 7-11 SoCon) face off in the SoCon tournament Friday at Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville, tipping off at 5 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Chattanooga vs. Citadel Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Asheville, North Carolina
• Arena: Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville

Chattanooga vs. Citadel Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Chattanooga win (69.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Chattanooga (-7.5) versus Citadel on Friday. The over/under is set at 147.5 points for this game.

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Chattanooga vs. Citadel: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Chattanooga has compiled a 12-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Citadel is 13-15-0 ATS this year.
• Chattanooga (2-3) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (40%) than Citadel (9-10) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (47.4%).
• The Mocs own a worse record against the spread in home games (4-8-0) than they do on the road (7-8-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Bulldogs have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than away (.467, 7-8-0).
• Chattanooga has covered the spread eight times in 18 conference games.
• Citadel is 10-8-0 against the spread in SoCon play this year.

Chattanooga vs. Citadel: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Chattanooga has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (40%) in those games.
• This season, the Mocs have been victorious three times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -330 or better on the moneyline.
• Citadel has put together a 6-20 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 23.1% of those games).
• The Bulldogs are 3-16 (winning only 15.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +260 or longer.
• Chattanooga has an implied victory probability of 76.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Chattanooga vs. Citadel Head-to-Head Comparison

• Chattanooga has a +49 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.6 points per game. It is putting up 76.4 points per game to rank 164th in college basketball and is allowing 74.8 per outing to rank 213th in college basketball.
• Chattanooga's leading scorer, Jordan Frison, is 188th in the country averaging 16.4 points per game.
• Citadel's -232 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 69.6 points per game (317th in college basketball) while giving up 77.1 per outing (262nd in college basketball).
• Braxton Williams leads Citadel, scoring 14.4 points per game (357th in college basketball).
• The Mocs fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.3 boards. They are recording 30.4 rebounds per game (266th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.7 per outing.
• Tate Darner's 4.3 rebounds per game lead the Mocs and rank 882nd in college basketball play.
• The Bulldogs lose the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. They collect 29.4 rebounds per game, 310th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 32.1.
• Sola Adebisi is 332nd in the country with 5.8 rebounds per game, leading the Bulldogs.
• Chattanooga ranks 100th in college basketball by averaging 101 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 282nd in college basketball, allowing 98.9 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bulldogs rank 287th in college basketball with 93.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 343rd defensively with 103.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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