Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse -- Cleveland, Ohio
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSOH, and FDSSUN

The Cleveland Cavaliers (51-10) are heavily favored (by 12 points) to extend a four-game home win streak when they host the Miami Heat (29-31) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET. The over/under is 221.5 in the matchup.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cavaliers win (73.5%)

Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Cavaliers have covered the spread 39 times in 61 games with a set spread.
• The Heat have played 60 games, with 26 wins against the spread.
• This season, 40 of the Cavaliers' games have gone over the point total out of 60 chances.
• Heat games this season have hit the over 33 times in 60 opportunities (55%).
• Cleveland has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 21 times in 32 opportunities at home, and it has covered 18 times in 29 opportunities in away games.
• When it comes to point totals, the Cavaliers hit the over more often at home, as they've eclipsed the total 21 times in 32 opportunities this season (65.6%). In away games, they have hit the over 19 times in 29 opportunities (65.5%).
• Against the spread, Miami has performed better at home (14-12-1) than on the road (12-19-2).
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Heat's games have finished above the over/under at home (66.7%, 18 of 27) than on the road (45.5%, 15 of 33).

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell averages 24.3 points, 4.3 boards and 4.8 assists, shooting 45.6% from the field and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.6 made 3-pointers per contest (fourth in NBA).
• Evan Mobley is averaging 18.6 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
• Darius Garland averages 21.1 points, 2.5 boards and 6.7 assists, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 42.1% from downtown, with 2.9 made treys per contest.
• Jarrett Allen's numbers on the season are 13.6 points, 10.3 boards and 2 assists per game, shooting 71.2% from the floor (second in NBA).
• Ty Jerome's numbers on the season are 12.1 points, 2.6 boards and 3.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.1% from the field and 44.1% from downtown (fourth in NBA), with an average of 1.6 made treys.

Heat Leaders

• Tyler Herro's numbers on the season are 23.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. He is also sinking 45.9% of his shots from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 3.6 triples (fourth in league).
• Per game, Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 17.2 points, 9.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• The Heat receive 11.8 points per game from Terry Rozier, plus 3.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists.
• The Heat are getting 11 points, 2.4 boards and 2.7 assists per game from Duncan Robinson.
• The Heat are getting 7 points, 1.9 boards and 4.5 assists per game from Davion Mitchell.

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